Tackling child poverty delivery plan - annual progress report: annex b - cumulative impact assessment update

Footnotes

1. Scottish Government (2022) Tackling child poverty delivery plan 2022-2026 - annex 4: cumulative impact assessment

2. The original Cumulative Impact Assessment was based on OBR forecasts from October 2021.

3. The first quarterly estimate of real GDP (Jan to March) was +0.1% although this is subject to revision.

4. Calculations based on Office for Budget Responsibility – Economy Supplementary tables, for the October 2021, and March 2023 publications.

5. Scottish Government (2022) Annex 4: Cumulative Impact Assessment

6. The latest official statistics indicate that 23% of children in Scotland lived in relative poverty in 2021-22 these are still being incorporated into UKMOD and will be used in the next modelling exercise.

7. Scottish Government (2022) Scottish Child Payment – estimating the effect on child poverty

8. Many of these areas such as Early learning and childcare and disability benefits are devolved so they will not apply in Scotland.

9. The latest official statistics indicate that 19% of children in Scotland lived in absolute poverty in 2021-22 these are still being incorporated into UKMOD and will be used in the next modelling exercise.