Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no.106)

Published: 18 August 2022
From: Director-General Health and Social Care
Directorate: Constitution Directorate
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland
ISBN: 9781804358443

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Supporting documents

Footnotes

1. https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12916-020-01597-8

2. For this graph, a wastewater RNA average using the last 7 days of data is computed at every sampling date. Prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey is overlaid, with a scale chosen to approximately match Jan/Feb trends in WW Covid-19.

^[1] Coronavirus (Covid-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

^[3] Covid-19 vaccine weekly surveillance reports (weeks 39 to 7, 2021 to 2022) - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

^[4] Coronavirus (Covid-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

^[5] Coronavirus (Covid-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

3. Coverage as for week ending 12th August 2022.