Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no.109)
Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.
Footontes
1 https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s12916-020-01597-8.pdf
2 PHS previously published figures for hospital admissions “with” Covid-19; these have recently changed to admissions “because of” Covid-19. As a result actual admissions figures in these charts are not directly comparable to those published in previous issues. For more details, please see https://publichealthscotland.scot/our-blog/2022/september/why-we-are-changing-our-covid-19-reporting/.
3 The colour scales have been adjusted compared to previous updates, to reflect fewer tests being taken.
4 Axes scales have been adjusted compared to previous updates, to reflect fewer tests being taken.
5 For this graph, a wastewater RNA average using the last 7 days of data is computed at every sampling date. Prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey is overlaid, with a scale chosen to approximately match Jan/Feb trends in WW Covid-19.
6 Coverage as for week ending 23rd September 2022.
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