Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no.111)
Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.
Technical Annex
What levels of Covid-19 are indicated by wastewater data?
Table 1 provides population weighted daily averages for normalised wastewater Covid-19 levels in the weeks ending 13th October and 20th October 2022, with no estimate for error. This is given in Million gene copies per person per day. Coverage is given as percentage of inhabitants in each local authority covered by a wastewater Covid‑19 sampling site delivering data during this period.
| Local Authority (LA) |
w/e 13th October |
w/e 20th October |
Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen City |
135 |
82 |
99 % |
| Aberdeenshire |
76 |
46 |
44 % |
| Angus |
114 |
50 |
68 % |
| Argyll and Bute |
34 |
60 |
23 % |
| City of Edinburgh |
134 |
66 |
98 % |
| Clackmannanshire |
128 |
58 |
92 % |
| Dumfries and Galloway |
78 |
41 |
39 % |
| Dundee City |
152 |
65 |
100 % |
| East Ayrshire |
122 |
42 |
72 % |
| East Dunbartonshire |
119 |
51 |
99 % |
| East Lothian |
122 |
55 |
74 % |
| East Renfrewshire |
25 |
31 |
95 % |
| Falkirk |
93 |
49 |
88 % |
| Fife |
67 |
42 |
75 % |
| Glasgow City |
59 |
39 |
98 % |
| Highland |
70 |
17 |
20 % |
| Inverclyde |
12 |
47 |
98 % |
| Midlothian |
143 |
61 |
88 % |
| Moray |
56 |
45 |
70 % |
| Na h-Eileanan Siar |
14 |
– |
0 % |
| North Ayrshire |
81 |
47 |
92 % |
| North Lanarkshire |
87 |
40 |
80 % |
| Orkney Islands |
32 |
54 |
34 % |
| Perth and Kinross |
98 |
23 |
45 % |
| Renfrewshire |
42 |
40 |
97 % |
| Scottish Borders |
109 |
73 |
59 % |
| Shetland Islands |
4 |
24 |
29 % |
| South Ayrshire |
127 |
50 |
88 % |
| South Lanarkshire |
71 |
36 |
85 % |
| Stirling |
16 |
22 |
63 % |
| West Dunbartonshire |
61 |
30 |
98 % |
| West Lothian |
42 |
40 |
93 % |
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