Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 29)

Published: 3 December 2020
From: Director-General Health and Social Care
Directorate: Constitution Directorate
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland
ISBN: 9781800044029

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Supporting documents

What next?

The Scottish Government continues to work with a number of academic modelling groups to develop other estimates of the epidemic in Scotland.

The modelled estimates of the numbers of new cases and infectious people will continue to be provided as measures of the epidemic as a whole, along with measures of the current point in the epidemic such as exceedance. R_t and growth rate will also be provided. Further information can be found at https://www.gov.scot/coronavirus-covid-19.

Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot

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