Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 29)

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.


Footnotes

1 A three week projection up until Christmas is provided here, when relaxation of restrictions occurs.

2 The UK POLYMOD figures from https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12916-020-01597-8

3 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.11.24.20236661v1

4 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4302011

5 Total adult ICU beds

Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot

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