Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 29)

Published: 3 December 2020
From: Director-General Health and Social Care
Directorate: Constitution Directorate
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland
ISBN: 9781800044029

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Supporting documents

Footnotes

1 A three week projection up until Christmas is provided here, when relaxation of restrictions occurs.

2 The UK POLYMOD figures from https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12916-020-01597-8

3 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.11.24.20236661v1

4 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4302011

5 Total adult ICU beds

Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot

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