Publication - Research and analysis
Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 35)
Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement
Technical Annex
| LA | P (Cases > 500) | P (Cases > 300) | P (Cases > 100) | P (Cases > 50) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen City | 0-5% | 15-25% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Aberdeenshire | 0-5% | 0-5% | 5-15% | 25-50% |
| Angus | 0-5% | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Argyll and Bute | 0-5% | 0-5% | 25-50% | 75-100% |
| City of Edinburgh | 0-5% | 0-5% | 5-15% | 25-50% |
| Clackmannanshire | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| Dumfries and Galloway | 0-5% | 5-15% | 25-50% | 50-75% |
| Dundee City | 0-5% | 15-25% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| East Ayrshire | 5-15% | 25-50% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| East Dunbartonshire | 15-25% | 25-50% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| East Lothian | 0-5% | 0-5% | 25-50% | 75-100% |
| East Renfrewshire | 0-5% | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Falkirk | 5-15% | 25-50% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| Fife | 0-5% | 0-5% | 25-50% | 75-100% |
| Glasgow City | 0-5% | 15-25% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| Highland | 0-5% | 0-5% | 15-25% | 25-50% |
| Inverclyde | 0-5% | 0-5% | 25-50% | 50-75% |
| Midlothian | 0-5% | 0-5% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Moray | 0-5% | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Na h-Eileanan Siar | 25-50% | 25-50% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| North Ayrshire | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| North Lanarkshire | 0-5% | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Orkney Islands | 0-5% | 0-5% | 5-15% | 15-25% |
| Perth and Kinross | 0-5% | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Renfrewshire | 0-5% | 5-15% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| Scottish Borders | 0-5% | 0-5% | 15-25% | 25-50% |
| Shetland Islands | 5-15% | 15-25% | 50-75% | 75-100% |
| South Ayrshire | 15-25% | 50-75% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| South Lanarkshire | 0-5% | 5-15% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| Stirling | 0-5% | 15-25% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| West Dunbartonshire | 15-25% | 50-75% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
| West Lothian | 0-5% | 0-5% | 75-100% | 75-100% |
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