Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no.115)

Published: 22 December 2022
Directorate: Performance, Delivery and Resilience Directorate
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland, Health and social care
ISBN: 9781805254072

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Supporting documents

Footnotes

1. https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s12916-020-01597-8.pdf

2. For this graph, a wastewater RNA average using the last 7 days of data is computed at every sampling date. Prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey are overlaid, with a scale chosen to approximately match post-July trends in WW Covid-19.

3. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-value-and-growth-rate

4. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases

5. Coverage as for week ending 14th December 2022.

Contact

Email: sgcentralanalysisdivision@gov.scot

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