Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 28 January 2022

Published: 28 January 2022
From: Director-General Health and Social Care
Directorate: Constitution Directorate
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland, Health and social care
ISBN: 9781802019834

This report brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the Covid epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.

Supporting documents

Footnotes

1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

2. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

3. Using data to 24 January 2022.

4. No R value was published for the week beginning 27 December 2021 as publications were paused over the festive period. The most recent data point for R is dated 26 January 2022, reflecting the R value as of 11 January 2022.

5. Using data to 24 January 2022.

6. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

7. Using data to 24 January 2022.

8. A credible interval gives an indication of the uncertainty of an estimate from data analysis based on a sample population. 95% credible intervals are calculated so that there is a 95% probability of the true value lying in the interval.

9. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

10. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

11. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

12. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

13. Ibid.

14. Ibid.

15. The reporting date is when the result of the test has been authorised and released to Public Health Scotland by NHS Scotland and UK Government Regional Testing Laboratories.

16. Please note that this is experimental statistics

17. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): daily data for Scotland
(week on week comparison may be affected by the festive period and the data flow issue.)

18. These figures are produced by Public Health Scotland as "experimental statistics" and may be subject to future revision as the new method for counting combined PCR and LFD tests evolves.

19. The specimen date is the date the sample was collected from the patient.

20. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard

21. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard

22. Ibid.

23. Source: Public Health Scotland

24. Public Health Scotland: PHS COVID-19 Education Report

25. If a nation does not report cases on a particular day, this might affect the seven-day average by reporting date. Cases by specimen date are not affected in such way.

26. Case comparisons across the four nations should be made with caution due to definitional differences.

27. UK Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in the UK

28. Case comparisons across the four nations should be made with caution due to definitional differences.

29. UK Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in the UK

30. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): daily data for Scotland

31. Public Health Scotland: i.e. since 11 January)?'

32. Question -Thinking about the LAST lateral flow/antigen test you did in the past week…Which of the following best describes you in relation to that test? (Base: 550 - All who have taken a Lateral Flow/antigen test in the last week)

33. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

34. Public Health Scotland: Coronavirus (COVID-19): Trends in Daily Data

35. ICU or combined ICU/HDU (with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days). Please note that only patients with length of stay 28 days or less in ICU were recorded until 20 January 2021. From 20 January 2021 ICU short and long stay includes both ICU or combined ICU/HDU with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days.

36. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard

37. Covid-19 related admissions have been identified as the following: A patient's first positive test for COVID-19 up to 14 days prior to admission to hospital, on the day of their admission or during their stay in hospital. If a patient's first positive test is after their date of discharge from hospital, they are not included in the analysis. An admission is defined as a period of stay in a single hospital. If the patient has been transferred to another hospital during treatment, each transfer will create a new admission record.

38. Public Health Scotland: PHS COVID-19 Education Report

39. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard

40. Public Health Scotland: e.g. routine operations) for whom COVID-19 was identified incidentally through testing but they are not requiring hospitalisation because of their COVID-19 symptoms.

41. NHS Board Dumfries and Galloway 30 December 2021 to 9 January 2022, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde 1 to 4 January 2022, NHS Grampian 30 December 2021 to 11 January 2022, NHS Tayside 14-17 January 2022

42. Public Health Scotland: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in the UK (accessed 26 January 2022)

43. Ibid.

44. Ibid.

45. NRS Scotland: Deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland

46. Public Health Scotland: Deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland

47. Ibid.

48. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard

49. NHS Inform: Coronavirus (COVID-19) booster vaccination

50. Ibid.

51. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

52. Ibid.

53. UK Health Security Agency: Risk assessment for SARS-CoV-2 variant: Omicron VOC-21NOV-01 (B.1.1.529)