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Publication - Research and analysis

No-deal Brexit: economic implications for Scotland

Published
21 February 2019
Directorate
Chief Economist Directorate
Topic
Brexit, Economy
ISBN
9781787816138

Illustration of the potential impact that a no-deal Brexit - leaving the EU on the 29th March 2019 without a transition period or agreement on any future trade deal and wider economic relationship - could have on the Scottish economy over the next 12-24 months.

View supporting documents Supporting documents

Footnotes

1. State of the Economy, Scottish Government, January 2018.

2. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/report/2018/eu-withdrawal-scenarios-and-monetary-and-financial-stability.pdf?la=en&hash=B5F6EDCDF90DCC10286FC0BC599D94CAB8735DFB

3. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/report/2018/eu-withdrawal-scenarios-and-monetary-and-financial-stability.pdf?la=en&hash=B5F6EDCDF90DCC10286FC0BC599D94CAB8735DFB

4. https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/migration/2018-july/tab-1-migration-to-from-scotland.xlsx

5. https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-place-europe-people-jobs-investment/

6. https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-place-europe-people-jobs-investment/

7. https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-place-europe-people-jobs-investment/

8. https://www.uktradeinfo.com/Statistics/RTS/Pages/default.aspx

9. Aberdeen and Grampian Chamber of Commerce, 29th Oil and Gas Survey.

10. https://www.ey.com/uk/en/issues/business-environment/ey-scotland-attractiveness-survey-2018

11. https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/PressRelease.mvc/0a24cd497b1845359ae26143d7094345

12. https://www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/report/2018/10/state-economy/documents/00542252-pdf/00542252-pdf/govscot%3Adocument

13. Financial Times (7 January 2019) - Six-day queues into Dover feared under no-deal Brexit scenario

14. Export Statistics Scotland 2017

15. https://www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/factsheet/2018/01/state-of-the-economy-january-2018/documents/cd4f5dde-e898-45c4-b1ca-42f4c360d4e6/cd4f5dde-e898-45c4-b1ca-42f4c360d4e6/govscot%3Adocument

16. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/report/2018/eu-withdrawal-scenarios-and-monetary-and-financial-stability.pdf?la=en&hash=B5F6EDCDF90DCC10286FC0BC599D94CAB8735DFB

17. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/report/2018/eu-withdrawal-scenarios-and-monetary-and-financial-stability.pdf?la=en&hash=B5F6EDCDF90DCC10286FC0BC599D94CAB8735DFB

18. Office for National Statistics - Business demography

19. https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/bulletins/businessdemography/2017

20. https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/migration/2018-july/tab-1-migration-to-from-scotland.xlsx

21. https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/migration/migration-statistics/migration-between-scotland-and-overseas

22. https://www.gov.scot/news/businesses-concerned-about-brexit/

23. https://www.gov.scot/publications/state-economy-february-2019/

24. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/report/2018/eu-withdrawal-scenarios-and-monetary-and-financial-stability.pdf?la=en&hash=B5F6EDCDF90DCC10286FC0BC599D94CAB8735DFB

25. State of the Economy, Scottish Government, February 2019.

Contact

Email: OCEABusiness@gov.scot

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