Postal delivery pricing: econometric analysis
In November 2018, the Scottish Government launched the Fairer Deliveries For All: An Action Plan which listed eight key actions to tackle the unfair and discriminatory parcel delivery charges faced by communities in remote and rural Scotland. This report is in response to action points 1 and 2.
Annex D: Detailed Estimation Results
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Delivery price | Delivery price | Delivery price | Delivery price | |
Population density | -0.01*** (-7.49) |
-0.01*** (16.85) |
-0.00*** (-3.39) |
|
Door-to-door delivery | 0.09*** (17.45) |
0.09*** (18.54) |
0.09*** (17.52) |
0.09*** (18.06) |
Next-day delivery | 0.16*** (31.73) |
0.15*** (33.11) |
0.16*** (31.77) |
0.16*** (32.28) |
Accessible Rural (UR3) | -0.02** (-2.68) |
|||
Remote Rural (UR3) | 0.11*** (12.02) |
|||
Large parcels | 1.59*** (264.58) |
1.59*** (276.66) |
1.59*** (264.86) |
1.59*** (267.79) |
Medium parcels | 0.65*** (136.34) |
0.65*** (142.20) |
0.65*** (136.50) |
0.65*** (138.04) |
Other urban areas (UR8) | 0.00 (0.78) |
|||
Accessible small towns (UR8) | 0.01 (1.71) |
|||
Remote small towns (UR8) | 0.05*** (3.40) |
|||
Very remote small towns (UR8) | 0.23*** (12.95) |
|||
Accessible rural (UR8) | 0.02** (2.82) |
|||
Remote rural (UR8) | 0.09*** (10.42) |
|||
Very remote rural (UR8) | 0.23*** (30.11) |
|||
Island | 0.18*** (17.97) |
|||
Eastern Scotland | 0.01** (2.83) |
|||
Highlands and Islands | 0.21*** (28.46) |
|||
North Eastern Scotland | 0.06*** (7.70) |
|||
Constant | 2.22*** (363.44) |
2.18*** (380.18) |
2.23*** (439.00) |
2.18*** (367.96) |
Observations | 24,364 | 26,468 | 24,364 | 24,364 |
R2 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.85 |
Notes: t-statistics in parentheses. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001. Company dummies included
|
(1) | (2) |
---|---|---|
Delivery price | Delivery price | |
Door-to-door delivery | 0.09*** (18.11) |
0.09*** (18.96) |
Next-day delivery | 0.15*** (32.23) |
0.155*** (33.57) |
Population Density | -0.00* (-2.12) |
|
Other urban areas (UR8) | -0.00 (-0.14) |
|
Accessible small towns (UR8) | 0.01 (0.57) |
|
Remote small towns (UR8) | -0.00 (-0.09) |
|
Very remote small towns (UR8) | 0.05* (2.01) |
|
Accessible rural (UR8) | 0.00 (-0.30) |
|
Remote rural (UR8) | 0.01 (0.99) |
|
Very remote rural (UR8) | 0.06*** (3.93) |
|
Aberdeen City | 0.07*** (5.31) |
0.07*** (5.44) |
Aberdeenshire | 0.06*** (5.16) |
0.07*** (4.81) |
Angus | 0.04** (2.80) |
0.06*** (3.42) |
Argyll and Bute | 0.21** (15.38) |
0.19*** (10.92) |
City of Edinburgh | 0.03** (3.24) |
0.03*** (3.52) |
Clackmannanshire | -0.01 (-0.23) |
0.00 (-0.04) |
Dumfries and Galloway | 0.04** (2.82) |
0.05** (3.09) |
Dundee City | 0.03 (1.76) |
0.03* (2.19) |
East Ayrshire | -0.01 (-0.54) |
0.00 (-0.01) |
East Dunbartonshire | -0.00 (-0.25) |
0.00 (0.01) |
East Lothian | 0.05** (2.79) |
0.05** (2.98) |
East Renfrewshire | -0.00 (-0.21) |
-0.00 (-0.04) |
Falkirk | 0.00 (0.07) |
0.01 (0.36) |
Fife | -0.00 (-0.36) |
0.00 (0.17) |
Highland | 0.22*** (17.94) |
0.20*** (13.24) |
Inverclyde | -0.00 (-0.15) |
0.00 (0.02) |
Midlothian | 0.03 (1.81) |
0.04 (1.96) |
Moray | 0.15*** (8.96) |
0.16*** (8.62) |
Na h-Eileanan Siar | 0.27*** (11.73) |
0.23*** (8.83) |
North Ayrshire | 0.01 (0.52) |
0.01 (0.60) |
North Lanarkshire | -0.00 (-0.25) |
0.00 (0.01) |
Orkney Islands | 0.25*** (6.33) |
0.22*** (5.67) |
Perth and Kinross | -0.01 (-0.81) |
-0.01 (-0.37) |
Renfrewshire | 0.00 (0.23) |
0.01 (0.52) |
Scottish Borders | -0.00 (-0.18) |
0.01 (0.50) |
Shetland Islands | 0.30*** (7.63) |
0.26*** (6.99) |
South Ayrshire | -0.01 (-0.37) |
0.00 (0.02) |
South Lanarkshire | 0.00 (-0.35) |
0.00 (0.07) |
Stirling | 0.04* (2.47) |
0.05* (2.57) |
West Dunbartonshire | -0.00 (-0.19) |
0.00 (0.06) |
West Lothian | 0.03* (2.27) |
0.04* (2.51) |
Large parcels | 1.59*** (268.11) |
1.59*** (279.08) |
Medium parcels | 0.65*** (138.21) |
0.65*** (143.47) |
Constant | 2.17*** (239.97) |
2.16*** (289.50) |
Observations | 24,364 | 26,468 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.85 | 0.85 |
Notes: t-statistics in parentheses. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001. Company dummies included
|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Delivery probability | Delivery probability | Delivery probability | Delivery probability | |
Accessible Rural (UR3) | -0.03** (-3.27) |
|||
Remote Rural (UR3) | -0.49*** (-49.33) |
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Two-seater sofa | 0.04** (2.84) |
-0.14*** (-10.80) |
0.03* (2.40) |
0.02 (1.53) |
Three-piece saucepan set | -0.17*** (-11.97) |
-0.17*** (-13.54) |
-0.11*** (-8.96) |
-0.11*** (-8.35) |
Other urban areas (UR8) | -0.04*** (-4.54) |
|||
Accessible small towns (UR8) | -0.07*** (-5.23) |
|||
Remote small towns (UR8) | -0.24*** (-10.37) |
|||
Very remote small towns (UR8) | -0.66*** (-23.72) |
|||
Accessible rural (UR8) | -0.08*** (-7.76) |
|||
Remote rural (UR8) | -0.26*** (-17.78) |
|||
Very remote rural (UR8) | -0.71*** (-58.97) |
|||
Population density | 0.05*** (33.97) |
0.03*** (20.87) |
||
Island | -0.69*** (-46.52) |
|||
Highlands and Islands | -0.39*** (-33.77) |
|||
North Eastern Scotland | -0.03 (-1.94) |
|||
South Western Scotland | -0.03*** (-4.16) |
|||
Constant | 0.99*** (93.88) |
1.04*** (96.30) |
0.90*** (98.26) |
0.96*** (87.52) |
Observations | 6771 | 6771 | 6201 | 6201 |
R2 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.41 |
Notes: t-statistics in parentheses. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001. Company dummies included
|
(1) |
---|---|
Delivery probability | |
Aberdeen City | 0.02 (1.00) |
Aberdeenshire | -0.13*** (-7.21) |
Angus | -0.06 (-2.25) |
Argyll and Bute | -0.70*** (-40.64) |
City of Edinburgh | -0.03* (-2.13) |
Clackmannanshire | -0.06 (-1.53) |
Dumfries and Galloway | -0.37*** (-18.50) |
Dundee City | -0.00 (-0.03) |
East Ayrshire | -0.01 (-0.26) |
East Dunbartonshire | -0.00 (-0.08) |
East Lothian | -0.14*** (-5.16) |
East Renfrewshire | -0.03 (-1.03) |
Falkirk | 0.01 (-0.22) |
Fife | -0.01 (-0.74) |
Highland | -0.46*** (-30.11) |
Inverclyde | -0.04 (-1.15) |
Midlothian | -0.01 (-0.47) |
Moray | -0.24*** (-9.09) |
Na h-Eileanan Siar | -0.94*** (-26.54) |
North Ayrshire | -0.07** (-3.27) |
North Lanarkshire | -0.04* (-2.23) |
Orkney Islands | -0.97*** (-16.82) |
Perth and Kinross | -0.11*** (-4.99) |
Renfrewshire | -0.04 (-1.93) |
Scottish Borders | -0.14*** (-6.50) |
Shetland Islands | -0.99*** (-18.43) |
South Ayrshire | -0.04 (-1.37) |
South Lanarkshire | -0.01 (-0.28) |
Stirling | -0.06* (-2.40) |
West Dunbartonshire | -0.01 (-0.23) |
West Lothian | -0.04 (-1.74) |
Two-seater sofa | 0.03** (-2.60) |
Three-piece saucepan set | -0.17*** (-13.64) |
Constant | 1.05*** (-78.6) |
Observations | 6771 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.45 |
Notes: t-statistics in parentheses. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001. Company dummies included
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