Education and Skills Impact Framework (ESIF) - college provision: contextual summary report 2022

This analysis uses longitudinal education outcomes data to estimate labour market outcomes and returns to investment associated with post-school qualifications. A technical report describes the methodology and findings in detail. This summary report covers some college qualifications.


Appendix 1: Samples used for Regression Analysis (University Qualifications)

Earnings Men Women
<=21 22-30 31+ <=21 22-30 31+
Other Treatment 18,984 14,964 5,166 27,407 17,877 12,945
undergraduate, Counterfactual 2,808 1,247 3,633 2,188 1,500 5,414
including HNC
and HND
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
1,348
243
377
175
1,273
791
268
82
361
175
5,414
2,534
Level 7
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
2,808
1,348
1,247
467
3,633
1,361
2,188
1,040
1,500
656
5,414
2,534
Level 6
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
6,334
3,056
1,935
784
5,429
1,958
4,445
2,395
2,069
866
7,675
3,256
Level 5
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
3,317
1,200
1,014
295
3,418
705
2,037
761
950
309
4,703
1,260
Level 4
Employment Men Women
<=21 22-30 31+ <=21 22-30 31+
Other Treatment 19,103 8,364 9,542 19,503 10,844 20,894
undergraduate, Counterfactual 5,304 2,011 5,359 3,449 2,432 7,765
including HNC
and HND
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
2,474
483
774
309
1,802
1,269
392
130
513
255
2,404
1,081
Level 7
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
5,304
2,935
2,011
850
5,359
2,152
3,449
1,790
2,432
1,194
7,765
3,844
Level 6
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
10,652
6,369
3,466
1,758
8,628
3,689
7,679
5,208
3,718
1,996
11,732
5,363
Level 5
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
5,980
2,905
1,833
724
5,793
1,550
3,929
1,904
1,683
677
7,287
2,191
Level 4
Welfare Dependency Men Women
<=21 22-30 31+ <=21 22-30 31+
Other Treatment 19,053 8,290 9,496 19,461 10,787 20,876
undergraduate, Counterfactual 5,297 1,991 5,305 3,441 2,406 7,763
including HNC
and HND
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
2,450
479
582
236
1,664
1,158
259
101
419
216
2,276
1,016
Level 7
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
5,285
2,929
1,936
819
5,224
2,114
3,419
1,773
2,353
1,176
7,741
3,838
Level 6
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
10,652
6,369
3,418
1,741
8,602
3,681
7,671
5,199
3,666
1,966
11,683
5,343
Level 5
SCQF Full Vocational Treatment
Counterfactual
5,978
2,904
1,786
717
5,721
1,533
3,919
1,896
1,633
656
7,207
2,176
Level 4

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Email: stuart.king@gov.scot

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