Publication - Research and analysis
Elasticities relevant to tourism in Scotland: evidence review
An overview of estimates of price elasticities of demand (PED) and income elasticities of demand (YED) for tourists to destinations relevant to Scotland; price elasticities of supply (PES) of commercial accommodation relevant to Scotland and other factors influencing the demand and supply of tourism.
Appendix C: Publications estimated elasticities for commercial accommodation
| Author | Year | Destination | Source market | PED | Price variable | YED | Income variable | PES | Other key variables | Method/Model | Data source | Data range | AJG rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisekera | 2010 | Australia | New Zealand | -0.52 | Spending per night | 1.13 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Surveys by tourism research Australia | 1990Q1-2007Q1 | 4 |
| Australia | Japan | -0.61 | Spending per night | 0.89 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Surveys by tourism research Australia | 1990Q1-2007Q1 | |||
| Australia | UK | -0.31 | Spending per night | 1.21 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Surveys by tourism research Australia | 1990Q1-2007Q1 | |||
| Australia | US | -0.52 | Spending per night | 1.46 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Surveys by tourism research Australia | 1990Q1-2007Q1 | |||
| Australia | Aggregated | -0.51 | Spending per night | 1.33 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Surveys by tourism research Australia | 1990Q1-2007Q1 | |||
| Divisekera and Deegan +++ | 2010 | Ireland | UK | -0.41 | Spending per night | 1.05 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Irish Tourist Board Survey | N/A | 2 |
| Ireland | North America | -0.38 | Spending per night | 1.27 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Irish Tourist Board Survey | N/A | |||
| Ireland | Mainland Europe | -0.27 | Spending per night | 1.09 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Irish Tourist Board Survey | N/A | |||
| Ireland | Rest of the World | -0.49 | Spending per night | 1.32 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Irish Tourist Board Survey | N/A | |||
| Ireland | Aggregated | -0.34 | Spending per night | 1.15 | Budget share | x | x | AIDS | Irish Tourist Board Survey | N/A | |||
| Nguyen +++ | 2015 | UK | x | x | Average daily rate | x | x | [-0.64, 9] | x | Percentages division | Industry sources | 2003-2013 | 0 |
| Xie and Tveterås +++ | 2020 | Norway | Unspecified | x | x | 0.5 | GDP of origin country | EX; Hotel Price | Regression | Statistics Norway | N/A | 2 |
Notes: +++ indicates the most relevant destinations to Scotland;
Long-run elasticities were selected or calculated for lagged models;
Unless specified, the demand is for the whole destination rather than a specific tourism sector.
Contact
Email: juanmanuel.scarilli@gov.scot
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