AN EVALUATION OF THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES 2014 LEGACY: PRE-GAMES REPORT
The Pre-Games Report sets out our commitment to a transparent and long term evaluation of legacy to generate learning for ourselves, future bidders and hosts, and to add to the international literature.
9. Annex 2: Outcome Indicator Data 2008-Latest
OUTCOME INDICATORS FOR 'FLOURISHING' | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HEADLINE INDICATORS - SCOTLAND LEVEL | Main dataset used | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Increase growth of Scottish businesses | ||||||||
F1: Gross Value Added (GVA) in key sectors (£ millions) | ||||||||
Construction | ABS | 7,909 | 5,979 | 6,154 | 6,111 | |||
Creative industries | ABS | 3,031 | 2,748 | 2,709 | 2,827 | |||
Manufacture of Food and Beverages | ABS | 3,708 | 3,863 | 3,620 | 4,303 | |||
Sports activities and recreation education | ABS | 440 | 610 | 429 | 508 | |||
Sustainable tourism | ABS | 2,594 | 2,768 | 2,904 | 3,091 | |||
of which: Tourism related sports facilities and activities* | ABS | 96 | 145 | 114 | 143 | |||
F2: Business stock - number of business sites in key sectors (number ) | ||||||||
Construction | BIS | 20,190 | 20,255 | 19,825 | 19,080 | 19,285 | ||
Creative industries | BIS | 10,800 | 11,205 | 11,510 | 11,990 | 12,810 | ||
Manufacture of food and beverages | BIS | 1,225 | 1,210 | 1,160 | 1,100 | 1,115 | ||
Sports activities and recreation education | BIS | 1,945 | 1,790 | 1,860 | 1,800 | 1,790 | ||
Sustainable tourism | BIS | 15,260 | 15,455 | 15,645 | 15,545 | 15,950 | ||
All sites operating Scotland | BIS | 186,210 | 186,295 | 186,650 | 185,350 | 190,510 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME:Increase movement into employment, training and volunteering | ||||||||
F3: Employment in key sectors (number) | ||||||||
Construction | BRES | na | 148,000 | 135,400 | 140,800 | 125,000 | ||
Creative industries | BRES | na | 76,700 | 71,900 | 64,100 | 65,200 | ||
Manufacture of food and beverages | BRES | na | 43,200 | 43,800 | 45,000 | 43,500 | ||
Sports activities and recreation education | BRES | na | 34,900 | 33,300 | 38,500 | 37,600 | ||
Sustainable tourism | BRES | na | 191,100 | 183,400 | 185,900 | 181,500 | ||
of which: Tourism related sports facilities and activities * | BRES | na | 15,300 | 14,400 | 15,400 | 17,200 | ||
F4: Claimant Count - people on unemployment benefit, alongside unemployment data. (number) | ONS | 79,900 | 127,701 | 137,322 | 142,748 | 142,457 | ||
F5: School leavers in sustained positive destinations (%) | SG | na | 84 | 85.1 | 85.2 | 87.2 | ||
F6: Modern Apprenticeships - number of New Starts, In Training, and Leavers. (number) | SD | |||||||
new starts | SD | 10,579 | 20,216 | 21,561 | 26,427 | 25,691 | ||
in training | SD | 26,614 | 33,733 | 36,253 | 35,262 | 35,906 | ||
leavers | SD | 14,554 | 13,116 | 23,799 | 24,356 | 25,952 | ||
Total | SD | 51,747 | 67,065 | 81,613 | 86,045 | 87,549 | ||
F7: Adults providing unpaid help to organisations or groups ( %) | SHS | 31 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 29 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Improve the perception of Scotland as a world class destination for business, events and tourism | ||||||||
F8: Perception of Scotland internationally - exports. (score) | NBI | 54.6 | 54 | 53.5 | - | 53.7 | ||
F9: Perception of Scotland internationally - tourism. (Score) | NBI | 69.1 | 67.3 | 67.4 | - | 67.4 | ||
F10: Rank and score as a business location - best city to locate a business in today among European cities. (As proportion of total) 0 (highest rank)->100 (lowest rank) | Other | 26 (of 34) | 29 (of 34) | 29 (of 36) | 30 (of 36) | |||
Score | Other | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | |||
F11: Rank and score as a major event destination - Glasgow. | Other | na | na | na | na | tbc | ||
F12: Tourist Visits - Overseas and UK Tourists (Trips). (Millions) | IPS/GBT | 14.64 | 14.59 | 14.45 | 15.70 | 14.98 | ||
F13: Tourist Expenditure - Overseas and UK Tourists Expenditure (£ Millions). | IPS/GBT | 4,380 | 4,190 | 4,121 | 4,577 | 4,292 | ||
F14: Hotel occupancy (Scotland) - Annual Average Hotel occupancy. (%) | VS | 63 | 64 | 63 | 65 | 65 | ||
Summer (%) | VS | 74 | 77 | 77 | 79 | 78 |
* Note that data for this sector (which covers SIC 93.11 and SIC 93.199) is included under both Sports activities and recreation education and Sustainable tourism headings. This data has been provided only to show magnitude of overlap between the sectors.
ASB figures due Aug 2014
F3: Note: The 2011 BRES employment estimates in the table are not strictly comparable with the data for 2010 and 2009.
OUTCOME INDICATORS FOR 'ACTIVE' | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HEADLINE INDICATORS - SCOTLAND LEVEL | Main dataset used | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Increase physical activity and participation in sport | ||||||||
A1: Adults participating in moderate exercise at recommended levels (%) * | SHeS | 39 | 37 | 39 | 39 | 38 | ||
A2: Children participating in moderate exercise at recommended levels (%) ** | SHeS | 71 | 71 | 72 | 73 | 70 | ||
A3 : Adults with low levels of physical activity (%)* | SHeS | 31 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | ||
A4: Children with low levels of physical activity (%) ** | SHeS | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | ||
A5: Adult population participating in sport (excluding walking) (%) | SHS | 52 | 51 | 51 | 54 | 51 | ||
A6: Children participating in sport (%) | SHeS | 71 | 73 | 70 | 69 | 66 | ||
A7: Awareness of Physical Activity Recommendations - Knew (%) | SHeS (KAM) | 22 | 23 | 26 | 27 | na | ||
A8: Adults making one or more visits to the outdoors per week (%) | SRS | 46 | 47 | 48 | 46 | 42 | ||
A9: Adults walking more than 30 minutes for recreation (%) | SHS | 55 | 54 | 54 | 57 | 59 | ||
A10: Active travel to work (%) | SHS | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Improve the active infrastructure (people and places) | ||||||||
A11: GVA – sport and leisure (£ Millions) | ABS | 440 | 610 | 429 | 508 | |||
A12: Employment– sport and leisure (Sports activities and recreation education) (number) | BRES | na | 34,900 | 33,300 | 38,300 | 37,600 | ||
A13: Sports Volunteering (%) | SHS | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | ||
A14: Sports Coaching (%) | SS | na | na | na | na | tbc | ||
A15: Oppprtunities to be active (number of attendances per 1000 population at leisure facilities) | Other | na | na | 8,751 | 8,768 | 9,824 | ||
A16: Satisfaction with local sports facilities (Very/fairly satisfied) (%) | SHS | 83 | 82 | 82 | 85 | 88 | ||
A17: Ultimate Sports Cities - Glasgow (ranking) | SB | na | na | na | 11 | 9 | ||
Score | SB | na | na | na | 291 | 344 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Improve Scottish Sporting Success | ||||||||
A18: Sporting Success (number of medals in last Commonwealth Games) | Other | na | na | 26 | na | na |
* 2012 recorded under old guidelines (62% new guidelines)
**includes school activies
NOTES:
* 2012 recorded under old guidelines (62% new guidelines)
**includes school activities
A14 data available 2014
A15 split years: 2010/2011; 2011/2012; 2012/2013
OUTCOME INDICATORS FOR 'CONNECTED' | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HEADLINE INDICATORS - SCOTLAND LEVEL | Main dataset used | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Improve the perception of Scotland as a creative nation, producing world class cultural experiences | ||||||||
C1: Perception of Scotland internationally - culture (includes sporting excellence) (score) | NBI | 58.9 | 57.57 | 57.41 | na | 57.9 | ||
C2: Message trending in the social media about the Games (volume and proportion of positive, negative and neutral messages) | Media Monitor | na | na | na | na | na | ||
C3: Memory of the event - proportion of the population who retain a positive memory of the Games | Media Monitor | na | na | na | na | na | ||
C4: Tourist Visits - Overseas and UK Tourists (Trips). (Millions) | IPS/GBT | 14.64 | 14.59 | 14.45 | 15.70 | 14.98 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Increase engagement through new artistic, cultural and creative experiences | ||||||||
C5: Level of public engagement in Scotland with the Games Adult | ||||||||
Buy tickets to attend (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | 14 | 20 | ||
I won't buy tickets for the Games, but may attend specific cultural events (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | 4 | 3 | ||
I may not go to any of the events for which you buy tickets, but I intend visiting Glasgow during the event (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | 4 | 4 | ||
I will not go to the Commonwealth Games, but intend watching them on television (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | 46 | 44 | ||
I have no interest at all in the Commonwealth Games (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | 31 | 24 | ||
Don't know (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | 2 | 4 | ||
C6: Cultural engagement in Scotland among adults (%) | SHS | 86 | 86 | 85 | 87 | 90 | ||
Attendance (%) | SHS | 75 | 74 | 74 | 76 | 78 | ||
Participation (%) | SHS | 74 | 73 | 71 | 73 | 78 | ||
C6: Cultural engagement in Scotland among young people (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 98 | ||
Attendance (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 96 | ||
Participation (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 93 | ||
C7: GVA - creative industries (£ Millions) | SAB | 3,031 | 2,748 | 2,709 | 2,827 | |||
C8: Employment - creative industries(number) | SAB | na | 76,000 | 71,900 | 64,100 | 65,200 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Enhance young people’s learning and everyone’s understanding and celebration of our and other countries’ cultures | ||||||||
C9: National and civic pride following the commonwealth games among adults - | ||||||||
I will be proud that Glasgow/Scotland is hosting this event | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 12 | ||
People who live in Scotland will feel proud | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 18 | ||
C9: National and civic pride following the commonwealth games among young people - | ||||||||
Supportive of Glasgow hosting the 2014 Commonwealth Games | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 62 | ||
I will be proud of Scotland, of myself, of athletes, of Glasgow | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 26 | ||
More people who live in this country will be proud | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 28 |
NOTES:
C2 and C3 data should be available in 2014
ASB figures due Aug 2014
OUTCOME INDICATORS FOR 'SUSTAINABLE' | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HEADLINE INDICATORS - SCOTLAND LEVEL | Main dataset used | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Improve the physical and social environment of Glasgow, in particular the East End | ||||||||
S1: Neighbourhood improvement (%) | SHS | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | ||
S2: Perception - local community (%) | SHS | 53 | 55 | 55 | 56 | 55 | ||
S3: Perception - community centres and facilities (%) | SHS | 31 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 31 | ||
S4: Perception - community safety (%) | SCJS | 66 | 67 | 68 | ||||
S5: Perception - crime rate (%) | SCJS | 69 | 71 | 74 | ||||
S6: International rating of personal safety (rank) | MQL | 43 | - | - | 44 | tbc | ||
S7: Greenspace | Other | na | na | na | na | na | ||
S8: Vacant and derelict land - Total area in Glasgow (hectare) | SVDLS | 1, 327 | 1, 350 | 1, 324 | 1, 303 | 1, 253 | ||
S9: Area Deprivation and Population Change | SG/NRS | na | na | na | na | na | ||
S10: Quality of living (Rank) | MQL | 56 | 56 | 57 | 56 | 55 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Strengthen and empower communities in Scotland and the Commonwealth | ||||||||
S11: Perception - community influence (%) | SHS | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | ||
INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME: Demonstrate sustainable design and environmental responsibility | ||||||||
S12: Neighbourhood cleanliness - Grade A * (%) | LEAMS | 26 | 25 | 28 | tbc | |||
Grade B (%) | LEAMS | 70 | 71 | 68 | tbc | |||
Grade C (%) | LEAMS | 4 | 4 | 4 | tbc | |||
Grade D (%) | LEAMS | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | tbc | |||
S13: Rates of recycling (%) | SHS | 87 | 88 | 88 | 89 | |||
S14: Waste destination - landfill (%) | SEPA | 63 | 61 | 59 | ||||
incinerated (%) | SEPA | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
recycled (%) | SEPA | 22 | 23 | 24 | ||||
composted (%) | SEPA | 12 | 14 | 14 | ||||
S15: Understanding of environmental responsibility recycle (%) | Omnibus | na | na | na | na | 66 |
NOTES:
* does not add up to 100% due to rounding
S4 – S5 split years i.e. 2008/2009; 2009/2010; 2010/2011.
Acronym |
Data survey |
---|---|
ABS |
Annual Business Survey, ONS |
BIS |
Businesses in Scotland, Scottish Government (Calculations by Scottish Government) |
BRES |
Business Register and Employment Survey, ONS |
GBT |
GB Tourism |
IDBS |
Inter-Department Business register, ONS |
IPS |
International Pasenger survey |
NBISM |
Anholt GFK-Roper National Brands Index |
Omnibus |
TNS |
ONS |
ONS (Retrieved through NOMIS) |
Other |
Other - online resources |
SB |
Sports Business |
SD |
Skills Development Scotland |
SG |
Summary Statistics for attainment, leaver destinations and healthy living (Scottish Government) |
SGT |
Scottish Government Tourism Stats Summary Webpage |
SHeS |
Scottish Health Survey |
SHeS (KAM) |
Scottish Health Survey - KAM module |
SHS |
Scottish Household Survey |
SRS |
Scottish Recreation Survey |
SS |
Sports Scotland |
UKT |
UK Tourism |
VS |
VisitScotland. Scottish Accommodation Occupancy Survey |
Contact
Email: Anita Morrison
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