High Level Summary of Equality Statistics: Key Trends for Scotland 2006
The High Level Summary of Equality Statistics is a compendium which presents statistical trends on the main areas of Government activity in Scotland across a number of equality dimensions including age, disability, ethnicity, gender and in some cases religion. It provides a standardised, concise format for each topic and provides a route into more detailed statistics on each topic and each equality dimension by listing relevant publications and websites.
1. Population & Migration
Introduction to Population and Migration and Equality
This section of the High Level Summary of Equality Statistics ( HLSES) presents key information on Scotland's population and migration across a number of equality dimensions including age, disability, ethnicity, gender and religion. The future impact of Scotland's ageing population is also covered in more detail in the main High Level Summary of Statistics ( HLSS) chapter on population and migration which can be viewed on the Scottish Executive statistics website at http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics.
The analysis is not intended to provide a definitive set of population or migration data for the above equality dimensions and more detailed statistics, where available, are referenced in the links provided. It is also not possible to break down all topics by all equality dimensions.
Possible reasons underlying the differences reported in this chapter are not detailed here. Factors which contribute to differences between equality groups represent a complex interplay of cultural, demographic and socio-economic factors and, as such are outwith the scope of this publication.
It should be noted that during the 1991 Census, the term gender was used but for the 2001 Census publications, a decision was taken to change the wording from gender to sex. For continuity, the term gender is adopted throughout this publication.
Life Expectancy
Life Expectancy: Gender
Life expectancy of males and females in Scotland is improving but is still well below the UK and most parts of Europe (as shown in the charts below). Life expectancy data for people (including males and females) in Scotland, for 2003 to 2005, are available from the General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) and can be obtained using the link provided below.
Source: GAD ( UK and constituent countries) and Eurostat
Note: 1. 2003 data are the latest Eurostat figures available for all countries listed.
Web Link
Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland, 2003-2005 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/life-expectancy/le2003-05/index.html
Population Profiles
Population Profile: Gender
Fifty-two per cent of Scotland's population are female (2.63 million) and 48% are male (2.45 million) as at 30 June 2005. In the first half of the decade the population declined very slightly for males and females, however in recent years there has been a very slight upturn for both the number of males and females.
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - Mid Year Population Estimates, 1996 to 2005
Note: 1. As at 30 June in each respective year.
Publications
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Mid-2005 Population Estimates Scotland http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/mid-2005-population-estimates/index.html
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Population Profile: Ethnic Group
Population information on Scotland's ethnic groups is collected in Scotland's Census which takes place every 10 years. Data were collected for the first time in 1991 and were subsequently collected on the 2001 Census. Between 1991 and 2001, the classification used to collect information on ethnic group was revised in order to better reflect the diversity of Scotland's ethnic groups and these changes are reflected in the breakdowns provided below. The next Census will take place in 2011 and the Scottish Executive are currently reviewing the 2001 ethnicity classification (links to more information about review are provided below).
The size of the minority ethnic population was just over 100,000 in 2001 or 2.0% of the total population of Scotland (based on the 2001 ethnicity classification). This compares to just over 60,000 in 1991 or 1.2% (based on the 1991 ethnicity classification). Whilst the total Scottish population increased by 1.3% during this time, Scotland's minority ethnic population increased by 62.3%.
Pakistanis were the largest minority ethnic group, followed by Chinese, Indians and those from Any Mixed Backgrounds in 2001. Over 70% of the total minority ethnic population were Asian: Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Chinese or Other South Asian and over 12% of the total minority ethnic population described their ethnic group as Mixed.
Scottish Population by Ethnic Group, 2001
Column Percentages & Number
2001 |
% of Total Population |
% of Minority Ethnic Population |
Base |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
White Scottish |
88.09 |
n/a |
4,459,071 |
|
Other White British |
7.38 |
n/a |
373,685 |
|
White Irish |
0.98 |
n/a |
49,428 |
|
Other White |
1.54 |
n/a |
78,150 |
|
Indian |
0.3 |
14.79 |
15,037 |
|
Pakistani |
0.63 |
31.27 |
31,793 |
|
Bangladeshi |
0.04 |
1.95 |
1,981 |
|
Chinese |
0.32 |
16.04 |
16,310 |
|
Other South Asian |
0.12 |
6.09 |
6,196 |
|
Caribbean |
0.04 |
1.75 |
1,778 |
|
African |
0.1 |
5.03 |
5,118 |
|
Black Scottish or other Black |
0.02 |
1.11 |
1,129 |
|
Any Mixed Background |
0.25 |
12.55 |
12,764 |
|
Other Ethnic Group |
0.19 |
9.41 |
9,571 |
|
All Minority Ethnic Population |
2.01 |
100 |
101,677 |
|
All Population |
100 |
n/a |
5,062,011 |
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Publication
Analysis of Ethnicity in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.uk7ff5ee0f-3801-4607-b42e-2fbe7a66bf2d
Web Links
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Ethnic Identity and the Census - Main Report (Published 2005) h ttp://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2005/06/22142242/22440
Ethnic Identity and the Census - Summary Report (Published 2005) http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2005/06/22142508/25107
Review of Census Ethnicity Classifications Consultation 2005 (Published 2005) http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2005/06/22110457/04594
Analysis of Response to Census Ethnicity Classifications Consultation 2005 (Published 2005) http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/statsdocs/ethclassconresponses05pdf
Scotland's Census Test 2006 http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/census/censushm2011/index.html
Population Profile: Ethnic Group, Age & Gender
For both males and females, minority ethnic groups have a younger age distribution than white ethnic groups; with the exception of the Caribbean group, more than 20% of the population for all other minority ethnic groups was less than 16 years olds in 2001.
The Mixed ethnic group has the youngest age structure; 44% are under the age of 16 years. The White Irish population has the highest proportion of people of pensionable age and over (27%).
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Note: 1. The age band '50 to Pensionable Age' refers to males aged between 50 and 64 years and females aged between 50 and 59 years. The age band 'Pensionable Age - 74 Yrs' refers to males aged between 65 and 74 years and females aged between 60 and 74 years. These are based on the state pension age of males and females in 2001 when the Census data were collected.
Publication
Analysis of Ethnicity in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.uk7ff5ee0f-3801-4607-b42e-2fbe7a66bf2d
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Population Profile: Gender & Age
There are peaks of people in their mid-50s and around 40 years. This is a result of the "baby booms" after the Second World War and in the 1960s. The recent decline in births is reflected in the tapering at younger ages. There are relatively more women aged over 75.
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2005 mid-year population estimates
Publication
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/mid-2005-population-estimates/index.html
Population Profile: Disability & Long-Term Illness
It should be noted that the data presented below on disability and long-term illness are taken from either the 2001 Census or the Scottish Household Survey ( SHS). It should be noted that the Census and the SHS use slightly different definitions of disability and long-term illness and different output categories for the data. The 2001 Census asked people if they had a long-term illness, health problem or disability which limits daily activity, responses of 'yes' or 'no' were recorded and the output category used is 'limiting long-term illness'. The SHS asks respondents if they have disability only, a long-term illness only, both a disability and a long-term illness or neither. More detailed information on the different definitions used by administrative data collections, sample surveys and the Census can be found in the Scottish Executive's publication entitled the Social Focus on Disability 2004 and a web link to this document is provided below.
Information on disability and long-term illness in Scotland is collected from both administrative and survey sources. The type of information that is collected and the definition of disability and long-term illness which is employed differ between data collections depending on the reason for the collection.
The Scottish Household Survey ( SHS) uses the following categories for disability and long-term illness; disability only, long-term illness only and disability & long-term illness. When these categories are combined, the SHS shows that the overall proportion of people reporting a disability and/ or a long-term illness and disability & long-term illness is 18% in 2005, 17% in 2003 and 16% in 2001.
Source: Scottish Household Survey - 2001, 2003 & 2005
Publication
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Web Link
Scottish Household Survey http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/16002/4031
Population Profile: Disability Only & Age
The number of people reporting a disability increases with age and most sharply for those in older age groups.
Six per cent of people of all ages report having a disability (but not a long-term illness according to the Scottish Household Survey) in 2005 and this proportion has not changed since 2001. There is little difference in the proportion of people reporting a disability between the age of 0 and 39 years (ranging from 2 to 3 per cent in 2005). The proportion of people reporting a disability increases more steeply for older age groups and is greatest for those aged 70 year and over (17% in 2005).
Source: Scottish Household Survey - 2001, 2003 & 2005
Publication
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Web Link
Scottish Household Survey http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/16002/4031
Population Profile: Long-Term Illness Only & Age
The number of people reporting a long-term illness increases with age, more sharply for older age groups.
Eight per cent of people of all ages report having a long-term illness (but not a disability according to the Scottish Household Survey) in 2005, a very slight increase from 7% in 2001. The proportion of people reporting a long-term illness increases fairly consistently with age, for example 2% of those aged 0 to 9 years, 3% of those aged 30 to 39 year and 7% of those aged 50 to 59 years in 2005. As would be expected, the proportion of people reporting a long-term illness increases more steeply for older age groups and is greatest for those aged 70 years and over (17% in 2005).
Source: Scottish Household Survey - 2001, 2003 & 2005
Publication
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Web Link
Scottish Household Survey http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/16002/4031
Population Profile: Disability & Long-Term Illness by Age
The number of people reporting both a disability and long-term illness increases with age, more sharply for older age groups.
Four per cent of people of all ages reported having a disability and long-term illness (according to the Scottish Household Survey) in 2005, a slight increase from 2001. The proportion of people reporting a disability and long-term illness is fairly similar for those aged between 0 and 49 years (ranging from 0 to 3% in 2005). As would be expected, the proportion of people reporting a disability and long-term illness increases more steeply for older age groups and is greatest for those aged 70 years and over (13% in 2005).
Source: Scottish Household Survey - 2001, 2003 & 2005
Publication
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Web Link
Scottish Household Survey http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/16002/4031
Population Profile: Disability and/ or Long-Term Illness by Gender
According to the Scottish Household Survey, there is very little difference in the proportion of males and females who report a disability and/ or long-term illness in 2003 and 2005.
Between 2003 and 2005 the proportion of both males and females reporting a disability only (and no long-term illness) increased slightly from 4% to 6%. The proportion of males who reported a long-term illness only (and no disability) increased very slightly from 6% to 7%, whilst for females it increased slightly from 6% to 8%. The proportion of both males and females who report a disability and long-term illness increased slightly from 2% to 4%.
Source: Scottish Household Survey - 2003 & 2005
Publications
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Web Link
Scottish Household Survey http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/16002/4031
Population Profile: Limiting Long-Term Illness by Ethnic Group & Age
According to the 2001 Census, the four white ethnic groups (all ages) have a higher rate of limiting long-term illness than minority ethnic groups (all ages). However these data are best looked at within age bands since the incidence of limiting long-term illness increases with age and since the age structure is markedly different for different ethnic groups; notably minority ethnic groups comprise a higher proportion of people in the younger age groups than white ethnic groups.
Within the 16 to 24 age group, Bangladeshi and Black Scottish or Other Black people have the highest incidence of limiting long-term illness with each group reporting 8%.
The Black Scottish or Other Black population and those from mixed ethnic backgrounds aged 25 to 34 years have the highest proportion of people with a limiting long-term illness. Within the 35 to 59 age group, Pakistanis have the highest rate of disability and/ or long-term illness (28%).
It is evident that as the population ages, a much higher proportion of people report a limiting long-term illness. For all ethnic groups, at least 50% of people aged 60 years and over report themselves to have a limiting long-term illness. This is highest for the Pakistani group with 66% having a limiting long-term illness.
People in the White Irish group have the highest proportion of people reporting a limiting long-term illness, 26% for all ages. However this will in part reflect the fact that this ethnic group has the highest proportion of people of state pension age and over.
Proportion of All People Reporting A Limiting Long-Term Ilness by Ethnic Group & Age Scotland, 2001
Percentage & Number
Ethnic Group |
Scotland, 2001 |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age Group |
|||||||
Percentage |
Base |
||||||
0-15 Yrs |
16-24 Yrs |
25-34 Yrs |
35-59 Yrs |
60 Yrs & Over |
All Ages |
||
All People |
5 |
6 |
9 |
19 |
51 |
20 |
5,062,011 |
White Scottish |
5 |
6 |
10 |
20 |
51 |
21 |
4,459,071 |
Other White British |
5 |
5 |
7 |
15 |
47 |
18 |
373,685 |
White Irish |
5 |
5 |
7 |
21 |
55 |
26 |
49,428 |
Other White |
4 |
4 |
6 |
14 |
51 |
14 |
78,150 |
Indian |
4 |
5 |
6 |
18 |
56 |
13 |
15,037 |
Pakistani |
5 |
7 |
10 |
28 |
66 |
16 |
31,793 |
Bangladeshi |
5 |
8 |
6 |
21 |
45 |
12 |
1,981 |
Other South Asian |
5 |
5 |
10 |
19 |
53 |
13 |
6,196 |
Chinese |
4 |
3 |
3 |
12 |
49 |
9 |
16,310 |
Caribbean |
5 |
7 |
9 |
15 |
48 |
14 |
1,778 |
African |
5 |
6 |
5 |
11 |
45 |
8 |
5,118 |
Black Scottish or other Black |
5 |
8 |
12 |
23 |
55 |
17 |
1,129 |
Any Mixed Background |
5 |
7 |
12 |
22 |
54 |
12 |
12,764 |
Other Ethnic Group |
4 |
4 |
4 |
11 |
44 |
8 |
9,571 |
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Publications
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Analysis of Ethnicity in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.uk7ff5ee0f-3801-4607-b42e-2fbe7a66bf2d
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Population Profile: Limiting Long-Term Illness by Religion Group, Age & Gender
Information on Scotland's religion groups is collected on Scotland's Census which takes place every 10 years. Data were collected for the first time on the 2001 Census and will be collected again in 2011.
Across all religion groups, women aged 75 years and over are more likely to have a limiting long-term illness, compared to men in the same age group. The largest differences are seen for Sikhs and Muslims. For example, 70% of Sikh women and 74% of Muslim women aged 75 and over report a limiting long-term illness, whilst the figures for Sikh and Muslim men of the same age are 65% and 55% respectively. However, in part these differences will reflect the fact that there are more females than males aged 75 and over and females in this age group have a longer life expectancy and hence a greater number are likely to develop a limiting long-term illness than men.
Proportion of All People with a Limiting Long-Term Illness by Current Religion, Age Group & Gender, Scotland, 2001
Percentage & Number
Religion Group |
Gender |
Scotland, 2001 |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age Group |
|||||||||
Percentage |
Base |
||||||||
0-15 Yrs |
16-29 Yrs |
30-49 Yrs |
50 Yrs to Pensionable Age |
Pensionable Age to 74 Yrs |
75Yrs & Over |
All People |
|||
Church of Scotland |
Male |
5 |
7 |
13 |
30 |
46 |
61 |
22 |
984,229 |
Female |
4 |
6 |
13 |
26 |
40 |
67 |
25 |
1,162,022 |
|
Roman Catholic |
Male |
6 |
8 |
16 |
41 |
57 |
68 |
22 |
372,020 |
Female |
4 |
7 |
16 |
36 |
50 |
72 |
24 |
431,712 |
|
Other Christian |
Male |
5 |
7 |
12 |
28 |
46 |
63 |
20 |
151,186 |
Female |
4 |
6 |
14 |
27 |
41 |
68 |
24 |
193,376 |
|
Buddhist |
Male |
5 |
8 |
18 |
32 |
47 |
59 |
18 |
3,465 |
Female |
4 |
7 |
14 |
28 |
42 |
69 |
16 |
3,365 |
|
Hindu |
Male |
5 |
3 |
5 |
23 |
49 |
77 |
10 |
3,038 |
Female |
2 |
4 |
10 |
24 |
57 |
82 |
11 |
2,526 |
|
Jewish |
Male |
4 |
4 |
11 |
24 |
40 |
61 |
21 |
3,107 |
Female |
2 |
7 |
10 |
24 |
37 |
67 |
26 |
3,341 |
|
Muslim |
Male |
6 |
7 |
14 |
45 |
63 |
61 |
14 |
22,621 |
Female |
4 |
6 |
19 |
50 |
70 |
74 |
15 |
19,936 |
|
Sikh |
Male |
5 |
5 |
16 |
39 |
51 |
55 |
14 |
3,401 |
Female |
3 |
5 |
17 |
42 |
63 |
70 |
17 |
3,171 |
|
Another Religion |
Male |
6 |
8 |
16 |
32 |
46 |
65 |
13 |
17,366 |
Female |
5 |
10 |
21 |
34 |
48 |
70 |
19 |
9,608 |
|
None |
Male |
6 |
7 |
12 |
27 |
47 |
62 |
14 |
731,348 |
Female |
4 |
7 |
12 |
26 |
42 |
66 |
13 |
663,112 |
|
Not Answered |
Male |
6 |
9 |
16 |
33 |
51 |
68 |
18 |
140,713 |
Female |
4 |
8 |
15 |
30 |
46 |
73 |
21 |
137,348 |
|
All Religion Groups |
Male |
5 |
7 |
13 |
31 |
48 |
62 |
19 |
2,432,494 |
Female |
4 |
7 |
14 |
28 |
42 |
68 |
21 |
2,629,517 |
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Publications
Social Focus on Disability 2004 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2004/08/19818/41697
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Population Profile: Religion Group
Just over two-thirds of the Scottish population reported currently having a religion in the 2001 Census. More than six out of ten people said that their religion was Christian (65.09%); 42.40% Church of Scotland, 15.88% Roman Catholic and 6.81% Other Christian.
The Other Christian group includes a wide range of groups. Examples of write-in answers include the Church of England, Evangelical, and Greek Orthodox, Jehovah's Witness, Methodist, Spiritualist and many others.
After Christianity, Islam was the most common faith with 0.84% (42,600 people) describing their religion as Muslim. This is followed by people from Another Religion (0.53% or 27,000 people), Buddhists (0.13% or 6,000 people), Sikhs (0.13% or 6,600 people), Jews (0.13% or 6,400 people), and Hindus (0.11% or 5,600 people). Overall, people in these religion groups account for 2.80% of all people in all religion groups.
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Publication
Analysis of Religion in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.ukae6765c7-0478-454e-b59a-62c834c1ef84
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Population Profile: Religion Group & Age & Sex
Of those who answered the religion question in the 2001 Census, Muslims have the youngest age profile with 31% aged less than 16 years. This is followed by Sikhs (27%) and those with no religion (24%). In contrast, the age profile of Christian and Jewish groups is much older. Over a quarter (27%) of those belonging to the Church of Scotland and 30% of Jews are of pensionable age or above. Similarly, 23% of Other Christians and 17% of Roman Catholics are within this age group.
The Christian and Jewish groups also have the oldest age profiles for both men and women. There are, however, a greater proportion of women in the older age groups than there are men. For example, thirty-six per cent of Jewish women are of pensionable age and over, compared to 23% of Jewish men. Thirty-three per cent of women in the Church of Scotland group, 22% of women in the Roman Catholic group and 28% of women in the Other Christian group are of pensionable age or over. This compares to 28%, 12% and 16% of men in these religion groups respectively.
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Publications
Analysis of Religion in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.ukae6765c7-0478-454e-b59a-62c834c1ef84
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Population Profile: Religion Group & Ethnic Group
Virtually all people whose religious affiliation is to the Church of Scotland are from a white ethnic group (99.8%). The vast majority of people from the other Christian backgrounds are also white; 99.1% of Roman Catholics and 98.1% of Other Christians are from a white ethnic group. Jewish people are also primarily from a white background (96.2%).
Two-thirds of Muslims (66.6%) are of Pakistani origin. Sikhs and Hindus are predominantly Indian with 85.9% and 82.4% respectively from this ethnic group.
The most ethnically diverse religious group is Buddhism. Just over half (51.8%) of Buddhists are from a white ethnic group. The remainder comprise people from the following ethnic groups; Chinese (28.0%), Other Ethnic groups (13.7%), Other South Asian (3.7%), Mixed (1.7%) and Indian (0.7%).
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2001 Census
Publications
Analysis of Religion in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.ukae6765c7-0478-454e-b59a-62c834c1ef84
Analysis of Ethnicity in the 2001 Census - Summary Report http://www.scotland.gov.uk7ff5ee0f-3801-4607-b42e-2fbe7a66bf2d
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Projected Population
Projected Population: Gender
Scotland's male and female population is estimated to rise until 2021, after which it is expected to slowly decline by 2031.
Source: Government Actuary's Department 2004-based projections
Publications
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Projected Population of Scotland (2004-based) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/popproj/04population-projections/index.html
Web Links
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Government Actuary's Department ( GAD) http://www.gad.gov.uk/Population_Projections/Population_projections_background.htm
Projected Population: Gender & Age
For younger age groups, the number of males and females is projected to decline, whilst it is set to rise among older age groups.
In general, Scotland's male and female populations are projected to decline for those aged 49 years and under between 2004 and 2031. Most notably, the male population aged 65 years and over is projected to rise steadily from 341 thousand in 2004 to 581 thousand in 2031 (up 71%), whilst for females it is projected to rise from 486 thousand to 727 thousand (up 50%).
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS)
Publications
Social Focus on Women and Men 2002 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/sfwm/docs/sfwm-00.asp
Projected Population of Scotland (2004-based) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/popproj/04population-projections/index.html
Web Links
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/
Government Actuary's Department ( GAD) http://www.gad.gov.uk/Population_Projections/Population_projections_background.htm
Projected Population: Age
Looking forward, Scotland can expect to see fewer people in the younger age groups and more older people (particularly aged 75 and over).
Source: Government Actuary's Department
Note: 1. 2004-based projections.
Publication
Projected Population of Scotland (2004-based) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/popproj/04population-projections/index.html
Web Links
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/index.html
Government Actuary's Department ( GAD) http://www.gad.gov.uk/Population_Projections/Population_projections_background.htm
Projected Population: Broad Age Group
The percentage of the population who are children and who are of working age is projected to decline in the future. In part, the projected decrease in the working age population is offset by the increase in state pension age to 65 for both sexes between 2010 and 2020. Conversely the proportion of the population who are of pension age is projected to increase.
Age Structure of Scotland's Population 2004-2041
Column Percentages
Age Group |
2004 |
2011 |
2021 |
2031 |
2041 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Children 1 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
Working Age 2 |
63 |
63 |
63 |
59 |
57 |
Pension Age 2 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
26 |
28 |
Source: General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) - 2004 Mid-Year Population Estimates Government Actuary's Department - 2004-Based National Population Projections
Notes: 1. Children under the age of 16 years.
2. Working age and pensionable age populations are based on the state pension age for the given year. Between 2010 and 2020, state pension age will change from 65 years for men and 60 years for women, to 65 years for both sexes.
Publication
Projected Population of Scotland (2004-based) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/popproj/04population-projections/index.html
Web Links
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/index.html
Government Actuary's Department ( GAD) http://www.gad.gov.uk/Population_Projections/Population_projections_background.htm
Household Estimates and Projections
Household Estimates and Projections: Age
Scotland's population is ageing, with more people in the older age groups and fewer in the younger age groups. This has an impact on household structure, as children tend to live in larger households and older people in smaller ones.
The greatest projected increases are in households headed by people aged 60 or over (an increase of over a third between 2004 and 2024, from 730,000 to 990,000). In contrast, households headed by someone aged under 60 are projected to increase by just two per cent, to around 1.55 million. The number of households headed by someone aged 85 or over is projected to more than double over the same period, from 56,000 to 120,000.
Source: General Register Office for Scotland: 2004-based Household Projections
Publication
Household Projects for Scotland: 2004-based http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/household-estimates-projections/household-projections-for-scotland-2004-based/index.html
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/index.html
Household Estimates and Projections: Age & Gender
In 2004, 19% of people aged 16 or over lived alone, and this is projected to rise to 25% by 2024. The figures vary according to gender and age. In most age groups up to their mid-50s, men are more likely to live alone than women. However, from the age of 55 onwards, women are more likely to live alone, and the figures increase with age. This is influenced by women's greater life expectancy, and the tendency of women to marry men who are older than them. 56% of women aged 85 or over lived alone in 2004, and this is projected to rise to 70% by 2024.
The gap between the average life expectancy of men and women in Scotland is decreasing, as men are living longer. In the 60+ age group, this is leading to a greater projected increase in the number of men living alone between 2004 and 2024 (up by 60%), and the number of two adult households (up by 40%), when compared with the number of women living alone (up by 30%).
Source: General Register Office for Scotland: 2004-based Household Projections
Publication
Household Projects for Scotland: 2004-based http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/household-estimates-projections/household-projections-for-scotland-2004-based/index.html
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland ( GROS) http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/index.html
Migration
Movements between Scotland and the Rest of the UK: Age & Gender
The age and gender of migrants remains relatively constant from year to year. The peak ages for migrating are the late teens to mid-twenties reflecting moves out of the parental home for higher education or employment. There also tend to be smaller peaks for moves of the very young, under the age of five, as their parents move home before the children have started school. The pattern of migration is very similar for men and women, though more women than men tend to migrate in their early twenties. However, this may reflect different patterns of re-registering with an NHS doctor after a move (the main migration source for migration estimates) rather then different patterns of migration.
Source: The National Health Service Central Register
Web Link
General Register Office for Scotland http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/library/migration.html
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