Key 2007 Road Accident Statistics

Provides provisional numbers of accidents and casualties (with police force and council figures), and overall Scottish trends and progress towards the casualty reduction targets for the year 2010.


8. Progress towards the casualty reduction targets for 2010 (Tables 5-7)

Target: 40% reduction in those killed or seriously injured by 2010

8.1 There were 2,598 people killed or seriously injured in 2007, 46% below the 1994-98 baseline average level: a larger reduction than target above. Section 10.5 shows the relevant "indicative line" figure for 2007 (the reduction so far needed to achieve the 2010 target by means of a constant annual percentage reduction) is 33.1% below the 1994-98 baseline average. Table 5 shows that the percentage fall from the 1994-98 average number of killed or seriously injured ( KSI) casualties is more than this for all modes of transport except motorcycles. Indeed in several cases, the falls are greater than 50%.

Table 5: Killed and seriously injured casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2007

Pedestrian

Pedal cycle

Motor cycle

Car

Bus/coach

Goods 1

Other 2

All road users

1994-98 ave

1,376

249

355

2,501

96

172

89

4,838

1994

1,647

316

353

2,804

150

211

90

5,571

1995

1,587

292

395

2,653

105

211

96

5,339

1996

1,279

216

300

2,293

96

137

77

4,398

1997

1,211

210

358

2,365

55

136

89

4,424

1998

1,156

210

371

2,390

76

163

91

4,457

1999

1,143

189

431

2,004

83

144

81

4,075

2000

997

176

475

1,978

80

121

67

3,894

2001

918

171

454

1,952

62

129

72

3,758

2002

893

152

456

1,782

59

141

50

3,533

2003

775

139

417

1,700

70

129

64

3,294

2004

750

128

395

1,581

66

95

59

3,074

2005

741

132

403

1,458

63

98

54

2,949

2006

746

141

408

1,430

57

99

59

2,940

2007 prov.

640

149

404

1,237

33

101

34

2,598

2003-07 average

730

138

405

1,481

58

104

54

2,971

Numbers in 2010 implied by target

826

149

213

1,501

58

103

53

2,903

2007 % change: on 2006

-14%

6%

-1%

-13%

-42%

2%

-42%

-12%

on 94-98 ave

-53%

-40%

14%

-51%

-66%

-41%

-62%

-46%

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

8.2 Around half of the 2,598 KSI casualties reported in 2007 were car users. The 2007 figure of car KSI casualties (1,237) was 51% below the 1994-98 average, and therefore exceeded the 2010 target. There were 640 pedestrianKSI casualties reported in 2007, 53% fewer than the 1994-98 average: again exceeding the reduction set out in the target. However, the number of motorcycleKSI casualties recorded in 2007 was 404, an increase of 14% from the 1994-98 average: this was the only category of road user for which the figure in 2007 was above the indicative line. The reported numbers of KSI casualties were smaller for each of the remaining categories of road user ( pedal cyclists: 149; goods vehicle users: 101; bus/coach users: 33; and others: 34).

Target: 50% reduction in children killed or seriously injured by 2010

8.3 There were 271 children killed or seriously injured in 2007, 68% below the 1994-98 average and a larger reduction than the 2010 target above. Table 6 shows that, in 2007, the figures for child pedestrians, pedal cyclists and car users were all below (and therefore better than) the target for 2010. The figures for the other modes of transport are very small.

8.4 About two-thirds of the 271 child killed or seriously injured ( KSI) casualties recorded in 2007 were pedestrians. The number of child pedestrian KSI casualties reported in 2007 was 179, 68% below the 1994-98 average, a larger reduction than the 2010 target of 50%. There were 55 child carKSI casualties recorded in 2007, a fall of 62% from the 1994-98 average, again exceeding the reduction set out in the target. The number of child pedal cycle KSI casualties reported in 2007 was 71% below the 1994-98 average, also better than the target. As there are few child KSI casualties for other modes of transport, small fluctuations in their numbers can cause apparently large percentage changes which are therefore not shown in Table 6.

Table 6: Child killed and seriously injured casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2007

Pedestrian

Pedal Cycle

Motor cycle

Car

Bus/coach

Goods 1

Other 2

All road users

1994-98 ave

562

100

6

145

11

8

10

842

1994

674

144

6

161

24

12

8

1,029

1995

638

113

7

153

9

13

17

950

1996

540

100

4

118

15

3

10

790

1997

505

78

4

138

3

7

10

745

1998

455

64

8

153

6

6

6

698

1999

430

69

5

108

2

2

9

625

2000

378

65

7

94

7

5

5

561

2001

353

56

7

110

5

6

7

544

2002

340

46

7

111

9

7

7

527

2003

273

48

5

93

5

2

6

432

2004

247

40

10

77

3

3

4

384

2005

244

30

11

69

6

2

6

368

2006

247

40

10

70

4

1

1

373

2007 prov.

179

29

4

55

1

1

2

271

2003-07 average

238

37

8

73

4

2

4

366

Numbers in 2010 implied by target

281

50

3

72

6

4

5

421

2007 % change: on 2006

-28%

*

*

-21%

*

*

*

-27%

on 94-98 ave

-68%

-71%

*

-62%

*

*

*

-68%

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

Target: 10% reduction in slight casualties by 2010 (per 100 million vehicle kilometres)

8.5 Table 7 shows that the 2006 slight casualty rate was 32.64 casualties per 100 million vehicle kilometres (As 2006 is the latest year for which there is an estimate of the total volume of traffic for Scotland as a whole). This was 30% below the 1994-98 baseline average and exceeds the 2010 target.

8.6 Around two-thirds of slight casualties reported in 2007 were car users. The total number of car user slight casualties recorded in 2007 was 8,716, 20% below the 1994-98 average. There were 2,042 pedestrian slight casualties reported, 32% less than the 1994-98 average. Bus and coach user slight casualties totalled 583 in 2007, 36% fewer than the 1994-98 average, the recorded number of pedal cyclist slight casualties (557) was 46% below the baseline average, and reported goods vehicle user slight casualties (498) were 15% fewer than the baseline average. However, recorded motorcyclist slight casualties (635 in 2007) were 10% above the 1994-98 average.

Table 7: Slight casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2007

Pedestrian

Pedal cycle

Motor cycle

Car

Bus/coach

Goods 1

Other 2

All road users

Traffic

Slight Casualty rate

numbers

mill veh-km

per 100 mill veh-km

1994-98 ave

3,009

1,034

580

10,859

912

583

501

17,478

37,653

46.42

1994

3,083

1,068

577

10,123

1,084

669

398

17,002

36,000

1995

3,048

1,031

576

10,321

802

579

498

16,855

36,737

45.88

1996

3,047

1,081

550

10,740

902

499

499

17,318

37,777

45.84

1997

2,944

1,062

590

11,669

886

525

529

18,205

38,581

47.19

1998

2,921

930

605

11,444

887

643

580

18,010

39,168

45.98

1999

2,620

828

594

10,901

841

609

534

16,927

39,770

42.56

2000

2,606

708

655

10,674

854

542

582

16,621

39,561

42.01

2001

2,487

745

724

10,339

761

595

499

16,150

40,065

40.31

2002

2,423

676

711

10,050

801

621

460

15,742

41,535

37.92

2003

2,215

663

697

10,053

822

537

474

15,461

42,038

36.78

2004

2,327

648

599

10,024

849

561

419

15,427

42,705

36.11

2005

2,308

649

678

9,529

793

495

479

14,931

42,718

34.95

2006

2,104

640

660

9,272

706

484

457

14,323

43,880

32.64

2007 prov.

2,042

557

635

8,716

583

498

434

13,465

..

..

2003-07 average

2,199

631

654

9,519

751

515

453

14,721

..

..

Rate in 2010 implied by target

41.78

2007 % change:

on 2006

-3%

-13%

-4%

-6%

-17%

3%

-5%

-6%

..

..

on 94-98 ave

-32%

-46%

10%

-20%

-36%

-15%

-13%

-23%

..

..

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

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