Labour Market Trends: November 2024

Trends in Labour Market indicators from HMRC PAYE RTI, Claimant count, and ONS Labour Force Survey data covering Scotland and the UK.


HMRC payrolled employees (experimental)

This information is based on experimental monthly estimates of paid employees and their pay from HM Revenue and Customs’ (HMRC’s) Pay As You Earn (PAYE) Real Time Information (RTI) data.

The latest early payrolled employee estimates for October 2024 indicate that there were 2.46 million payrolled employees in Scotland. Compared with the same month the year before, the number of payrolled employees was similar. This compares with an increase of 0.3 per cent for the UK over the same period.

Payrolled employment decreased by 3,000 employees (0.1 per cent) from September 2024 to October 2024; this monthly change should be treated as a provisional estimate and is likely to be revised when more data for October is received next month.

In December 2020, the lowest point following the start of the pandemic, there were 83,000 fewer payrolled employees in Scotland than prior to the pandemic (February 2020). However, the estimated number of payrolled employees has generally been increasing since December 2020 and has continued to be above the pre-coronavirus level (February 2020) since November 2021.

Estimates for October 2024 are provisional as they are based on around 85% of information being available. When comparing the number of payrolled employees in September 2024 with the same period the previous year, the number of payrolled employees in Scotland increased by 0.2 per cent (4,000).

Chart 1: Number of payrolled employees in Scotland declined between February and December 2020. However, it has continued to be above the pre-coronavirus level since November 2021, reaching a peak in March 2024

Payrolled Employees, Scotland, September 2019 to October 2024, seasonally adjusted

Time series line chart showing estimated number of payrolled employees for Scotland and the United Kingdom as separate lines.

Source: PAYE RTI, all industries, seasonally adjusted, HMRC
Note: Early estimates for October 2024 are provided to give an indication of the likely level of payrolled employees as well as their median pay in the latest period. The figures are based on around 85% of information being available. They are considered of lower quality and may be subject to revision in next month's release when between 98% to 99% of data will be available.

Chart 2: Annual Growth in the number of payrolled employees in Scotland has fallen over recent months despite being fairly stable for most of the previous year

Annual Percentage Change in Payrolled Employees, Scotland, September 2019 to October 2024

Bar chart showing a time series of annual change in payrolled employees for Scotland.

Source: PAYE RTI, all industries, seasonally adjusted, HMRC
Note: Early estimates for October 2024 are provided to give an indication of the likely level of payrolled employees as well as their median pay in the latest period. The figures are based on around 85% of information being available. They are considered of lower quality and may be subject to revision in next month's release when between 98% to 99% of data will be available.

Contact

For enquiries about this publication please contact:

Labour Market Statistics,
Office of the Chief Economic Adviser
Telephone: 0131 244 6773,
E-mail: LMStats@gov.scot

For general enquiries about Scottish Government statistics please contact:

Office of the Chief Statistician
E-mail: statistics.enquiries@gov.scot

 

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