The Promise Story of Progress: How is Scotland doing in its progress towards keeping the promise?

A national report co-authored by COSLA, The Scottish Government and The Promise Scotland, presenting the shared approach to understanding progress towards keeping The Promise.


Annex

Sources, Publication Dates And Frequencies

Promise Vision Statement One

Where children are in their families and feel loved they must stay – and families must be given support together to nurture that love and overcome the difficulties which get in the way.

Outcome

The rate of children entering care decreases. For those that do need to enter care, a higher proportion are able to stay living at home with parents, or in a family setting in kinship care or foster care

Core Indicators

1. Number and rate of children in the ‘care system’ in Scotland during the year.

2. Number of children (0-17 years) entering the ‘care system’ during the year.

3. Number and percentage of children in the ‘care system’ who are living at home with parents each year.

4. Number and percentage of children in the ‘care system’ living in the community each year.

5. Number and percentage of children who are living in kinship care each year.

6. Number and percentage of children who are living in foster care each year.

7. Number and percentage of children who are living in residential care each year.

8. Average number of children living in secure care on a given day throughout the year

Source

Children’s Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

Outcome

The underlying universal support system must support all families and identify those who need more support.

Core Indicators

1. Rate of registrations to the child protection register from initial and pre-birth Case Conferences during the year per 1,000 0–15-year-olds.

Source

Children’s Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

Core Indicators

2. Percentage of child death reviews which identified modifiable factors in a child's death.

Source

National hub for reviewing and learning from the deaths of children and young people, Healthcare Improvement Scotland

Publication Date

March

Publication Frequency

Annual (the first report was published in March 2024)

Contextual Indicators

1. Percentage of children with a developmental concern recorded at their 13-15 months, 27-30 months, and 4–5-year reviews.

Source

Early Child Development Statistics, Public Health Scotland

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

2. Number and percentage of children living in temporary accommodation.

Source

Homelessness in Scotland, Scottish Government

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

3. Three-year averaged estimate of the number and proportion of children living in relative poverty after housing costs.

4. Three-year averaged estimate of the number and proportion of children living in absolute poverty after housing costs.

Source

Poverty and Income Inequality in Scotland, Scottish Government

Publication Date

March

Publication Frequency

Annual

5. Number and rate of children on the Child Protection Register, with domestic abuse listed as a concern identified.

Source

Children’s Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government

Publication Date

March

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Two

Scotland must limit the number of moves that children experience and support carers to continue to care.

Outcome

The average number of homes a child experiences each year decreases.

Core Indicators

1. Percentage of children who have experienced 3 or more homes within the last year.

Source

Children’s Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

Outcome

Where living with their family is not possible, there must be sufficient availability of carers who can provide stable loving homes for children.

Core Indicators

1. Number of registered foster care households per 1,000 0–17-year-olds in Scotland, and relative to number of children in the ‘care system’.

2. Number of foster carer deregistrations in Scotland in the last year.

Source

Fostering and Adoption Statistics, the Care Inspectorate

Publication Date

September

Publication Frequency

Annual

Core Indicators

3. Care Homes for children and young people and residential additional support needs schools workforce:

iv.Size of WTE (Whole-time equivalent) workforce, rounded to the nearest 10

v.Vacancy rate in Care Homes for children and young people

vi.Vacancy rate in residential additional support needs schools

4. The Secure care workforce, in terms of:

i.Size of WTE workforce, rounded to the nearest 10

ii.Vacancy rate

Source

Scottish Social Service Sector Workforce Data, Scottish Social Services Council

Publication Date

August

Publication Frequency

Annual

Outcome

There must be sufficient capacity within children's social services to recruit loving, attentive carers and support them to continue to care, and provide children and young people with stability when moves need to happen

Core Indicators

1. Staff working in children’s fieldwork services, including qualified social workers:

i. WTE (rounded to nearest 10)

ii. Rate per 100,000 0-17 year olds

iii. Stability index

Source

Interactive Social Worker Data Tool, Scottish Social Services Council (adapted from the Local Authority Posts Type data, SSSC)

Publication Date

October

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Three

Schools in Scotland must be ambitious for care experienced children and ensure they have all they need to thrive, recognising that they may experience difficulties associated with their life story.

Outcome

Care experienced young people spend more time in school.

Core Indicators

1. Rate of attendance for pupils who experienced care at some point within the school year.

2. Cases of exclusions per 1,000 pupils who experienced care at some point within the school year.

Source

Children's Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government

Publication Date

July

Publication Frequency

Annual

Outcome

The average attainment of care experienced young people increases.

Core Indicators

1. Proportion of pupils who experienced care at some point within the school year at stages P1, P4, P7 and S3 achieving the curriculum for excellence level relevant to their stage.

2. Proportion of pupils who experienced care during their last year at school achieving at least one SCQF level 5 qualification (or better).

3. Proportion of pupils who experienced care during their last year at school achieving at least 1 SCQF level 6 qualification (or better).

4. Proportion of pupils who experienced care during their last year at school in a positive destination 9 months after leaving school.

Source

Children's Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government

Publication Date

July

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Four

Where living with their family is not possible, children must stay with their brothers and sisters where safe to do so and belong to a loving home, staying there for as long as needed.

Outcome

Care experienced young people spend more time in school.

Core Indicators

1. Proportion of family groups living in foster families who have been separated.

2. Number and proportion of new foster care households approved for family groups of 2 children, and 3 or more children.

Source

Fostering and Adoption statistics, Care Inspectorate

Publication Date

September

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Five

Scotland must strive to become a nation that does not restrain its children.

Outcome

The use of physical restraint in residential care should be reduced, and where possible eliminated.

Core Indicators

1. Number of incidences of physical restraint reported between 1st January and 31st December in care homes for children and young people.

2. Number of incidences of seclusion reported between 1st January and 31st December in care homes for children and young people.

3. Number of incidences of Physical restraint reported between 1st January and 31st December in secure care.

4. Number of incidences of seclusion reported between 1st January and 31st December in secure care.

5. Number of incidences of physical restraint reported between 1st January and 31st December in school accommodation services.

6. Number of incidences of seclusion reported between 1st January and 31st December in school accommodation services.

Source

Report on Restrictive Practices, the Care Inspectorate

Publication Date

November

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Six

Scotland must seek to uphold the wellbeing of care-experienced children and young people and ensure that there is timely access to mental health support before crisis point so that children can avoid hospitalisation.

Outcome

Support for children and adolescent mental health increases.

Core Indicators

1. Percentage of children receiving Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services treatment within referral guidelines.

Source

Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS) waiting times, Public Health Scotland

Publication Date

March, June, September, December

Publication Frequency

Quarterly

Core Indicators

1. Number of staff employed in Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services

Source

NHS Scotland CAMHS Workforce statistics

Publication Date

March, June, September, December

Publication Frequency

Quarterly

Promise Vision Statement Seven

Care experienced children and young people have access to support ensuring that their health needs are fully met.

Outcome

Health outcomes, and access to health services improve for care experienced children and young people. 

Source

Public Health Scotland Indicators under development.

Promise Vision Statement Eight

Scotland must stop locking up children who have often experienced the failures of the state in the provision of their care.

Outcome

The number of young people entering young offenders’ institutions decreases.

Core Indicators

1. Number of under 21s in custody.

Source

Scottish Prison Population Statistics, Scottish Government and Scottish Prison Service

Publication Date

December

Publication Frequency

Annual

Core Indicators

2. Number of referrals to the children’s reporter on offence grounds.

Source

Children’s Hearings System statistics, Scottish Children’s Reporter Administration

Publication Date

June

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Nine

Young adults for whom Scotland has taken on parenting responsibility must have a right to return to care and have access to services and supportive people to nurture them.

Outcome

 The number of young care experienced people receiving support increases.

Core Indicators

1. Proportion of young people who are eligible for aftercare services who are receiving services. 

2. Number and proportion of eligible young people who are going on to continuing care. 

Source

Children’s Social Work Statistics, Scottish Government 

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

Promise Vision Statement Ten

Care experienced adults must have a right to access to supportive, caring services for as long as they require them. Those services and the people who work in them must have a primary focus on the development and maintenance of supportive relationships that help people access what they need to thrive.

Outcome

The number of households experiencing homelessness decreases.

Contextual Indicators

Number and rate of people of working age living in poverty.

Source

Poverty and Income Inequality in Scotland

Publication Date

March

Publication Frequency

Annual

Contextual Indicators

3. Number of households living in temporary accommodation.

4. Number of households assessed as homeless or threatened with homelessness.

Source

Homelessness in Scotland, Scottish Government

Publication Date

April

Publication Frequency

Annual

Outcome

The number of households experiencing homelessness decreases.

Contextual Indicators

Number and rate of people of working age living in poverty.

Source

Poverty and Income Inequality in Scotland

Publication Date

March

Publication Frequency

Annual

Outcome

Support for people who use drugs or alcohol increases.

Contextual Indicators

1. Number and proportion of people receiving help for problematic drug and alcohol use within waiting times standard.

Source

National drug and alcohol treatment waiting times, Public Health Scotland

Publication Date

March, June, September, December

Publication Frequency

Quarterly

Outcome

Support for adult mental health increases.

Contextual Indicators

1. Number and proportion of people receiving psychological therapy within referral guidelines

Source

Psychological therapies waiting times, Public Health Scotland

Publication Date

March, June, September, December

Publication Frequency

Quarterly

Cover Information

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Publication Title: The Promise Story of Progress: how is Scotland doing in its progress towards keeping the promise?

One sentence summary: A national report co-authored by COSLA, The Scottish Government and The Promise Scotland, presenting the shared approach to understanding progress towards keeping The Promise.

Date and time of publishing: 18/12/2024 – 09:30

Directorate: Children and Families

Tags:

Contact Email: thepromiseteam@gov.scot

Suggested search terms: The Promise, Promise Progress Framework, Promise Story of Progress, Children and families, Care Experience.

Collection(s) to be added to:

Contact

Email: ThePromiseTeam@gov.scot

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