Publication - Research and analysis

Pupil projections and implications for teacher resourcing needs: education workforce modelling and research

Published: 7 May 2024
Directorate: Learning Directorate
Topic: Education
ISBN: 9781835219645

An external report considering population projections and potential implications for education workforce resources in Scotland. This independent analysis is intended to support engagement with partners on workforce planning that enables delivery of key commitments while maximising value for money.

Supporting documents

Footnotes

1. Scottish Government (2021) ‘Programme for Government 2021 to 2022

2. Office for National Statistics (2023) ‘National population projections: 2020-based interim’

3. School teachers - Summary statistics for schools in Scotland 2023 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

4. Scottish Government (2023) ‘Scotland’s Fiscal Outlook - The Scottish Government’s Medium-Term Financial Strategy’

5. Department for Education (2023) ‘Education and training statistics for the UK

6. The data used for comparison are from the year 2022/23 as official statistics for 2023 are only being published for Scotland at the time of writing.

7. OECD (2021) ‘Ratio of students to teaching staff by type of institutions, Public educational institutions’

8. Department for Education (2011) ‘Class size and education in England evidence report’

9. Department for Education (2019) ‘Teacher Workload Survey 2019: Research brief’

10. Education Workforce Council (2021) ‘National education workforce survey’

11. NAHT (2021) ‘NAHT Northern Ireland Guidance: Producing a Time Budget’

12. OECD (2020) ‘Statutory net teaching time per school year, in hours (teachers)’

13. Scottish Government (2023) ‘Teacher census supplementary statistics’

14. The General Teaching Council for Scotland, ‘Class contact time’

15. High School of Glasgow, Class Size and Learning - Everything You Need to Know

16. SNCT, Appendix 2.9