Reconviction rates in Scotland: 2015-2016 offender cohort

Trends in reconviction statistics up to the latest cohort of 2015-2016.


Table 8: Reconviction rates and average number of reconvictions per offender, by index disposal: 1997-98 to 2015-16 cohorts1,2

Index disposal Number of offenders Reconviction rate Average number of reconvictions per offender
Discharged from Custody3
1997-98 6,118 48.4 1.04
1998-99 5,821 49.1 1.09
1999-00 5,744 46.3 0.99
2000-01 5,573 47.4 1.00
2001-02 5,949 47.9 1.06
2002-03 6,003 49.8 1.12
2003-04 5,885 50.1 1.11
2004-05 6,127 47.9 1.06
2005-06 6,239 47.4 1.03
2006-07 6,871 48.7 1.06
2007-08 6,917 47.2 1.02
2008-09 7,218 47.2 0.99
2009-10 7,201 46.3 0.95
2010-11 7,030 45.6 0.92
2011-12 7,005 44.7 0.94
2012-13 7,084 44.3 0.91
2013-14 6,715 45.1 0.88
2014-15 6,260 44.6 0.89
2015-16 6,295 43.4 0.86
Extended Sentences
1997-98 - - -
1998-99 - - -
1999-00 - - -
2000-01 - - -
2001-02 - - -
2002-03 - - -
2003-04 - - -
2004-05 - - -
2005-06 1 ** **
2006-07 16 6.3 0.06
2007-08 51 11.8 0.14
2008-09 40 12.5 0.15
2009-10 79 13.9 0.15
2010-11 101 15.8 0.19
2011-12 106 14.2 0.19
2012-13 134 12.7 0.14
2013-14 182 6.6 0.09
2014-15 210 14.3 0.15
2015-16 198 12.1 0.14
Supervised Release Orders
1997-98 - - -
1998-99 - - -
1999-00 - - -
2000-01 - - -
2001-02 - - -
2002-03 - - -
2003-04 - - -
2004-05 - - -
2005-06 - - -
2006-07 26 34.6 0.42
2007-08 93 35.5 0.45
2008-09 147 46.9 0.89
2009-10 154 40.3 0.71
2010-11 161 44.1 0.76
2011-12 200 45.0 0.71
2012-13 217 39.2 0.59
2013-14 226 38.1 0.62
2014-15 231 36.8 0.55
2015-16 258 36.0 0.61
Restriction of Liberty Order
1997-98 - - -
1998-99 25 60.0 1.56
1999-00 54 68.5 1.78
2000-01 61 62.3 1.69
2001-02 58 72.4 1.62
2002-03 223 53.8 1.21
2003-04 372 58.3 1.27
2004-05 442 57.7 1.24
2005-06 524 54.0 1.22
2006-07 548 52.4 1.07
2007-08 556 50.9 1.04
2008-09 594 47.8 0.98
2009-10 510 49.4 0.96
2010-11 461 45.1 0.86
2011-12 496 40.3 0.76
2012-13 558 36.4 0.68
2013-14 642 35.5 0.60
2014-15 731 33.7 0.60
2015-16 993 33.9 0.58
Legacy Community Order (CSO, PO)4
1997-98 6,084 39.6 0.85
1998-99 5,951 40.3 0.88
1999-00 5,593 38.5 0.78
2000-01 5,644 38.9 0.82
2001-02 6,087 40.5 0.86
2002-03 6,554 40.6 0.84
2003-04 6,452 39.0 0.78
2004-05 7,091 39.6 0.79
2005-06 7,773 38.3 0.74
2006-07 7,608 38.1 0.72
2007-08 8,113 36.5 0.68
2008-09 8,851 37.0 0.70
2009-10 8,658 33.6 0.62
2010-11 8,242 33.7 0.61
2011-12 3,774 27.7 0.47
2012-13 663 14.9 0.22
2013-14 203 6.4 0.08
2014-15 109 8.3 0.12
2015-16 65 9.2 0.12
Community Payback Order5
1997-98 - - -
1998-99 - - -
1999-00 - - -
2000-01 - - -
2001-02 - - -
2002-03 - - -
2003-04 - - -
2004-05 - - -
2005-06 - - -
2006-07 - - -
2007-08 - - -
2008-09 - - -
2009-10 - - -
2010-11 175 54.3 1.14
2011-12 6,104 36.6 0.68
2012-13 9,459 32.6 0.57
2013-14 10,539 30.6 0.56
2014-15 10,831 32.9 0.59
2015-16 10,801 30.8 0.54
Drug Treatment and Testing Order
1997-98 - - -
1998-99 - - -
1999-00 1 ** **
2000-01 36 58.3 1.31
2001-02 94 75.5 2.14
2002-03 143 75.5 2.41
2003-04 203 78.8 2.20
2004-05 231 78.4 2.20
2005-06 268 70.1 1.88
2006-07 301 75.1 2.02
2007-08 326 70.9 1.94
2008-09 362 67.7 1.76
2009-10 364 66.2 1.70
2010-11 372 66.9 1.62
2011-12 277 62.1 1.65
2012-13 314 65.0 1.59
2013-14 328 64.3 1.73
2014-15 258 63.6 1.77
2015-16 236 64.4 1.68
Monetary Disposal
1997-98 32,895 29.5 0.54
1998-99 29,562 29.4 0.53
1999-00 25,605 28.9 0.52
2000-01 23,816 28.9 0.51
2001-02 24,865 29.0 0.52
2002-03 24,849 29.1 0.52
2003-04 26,694 29.5 0.51
2004-05 27,452 29.2 0.50
2005-06 27,048 29.2 0.50
2006-07 28,498 29.0 0.49
2007-08 27,495 27.6 0.46
2008-09 22,844 26.7 0.47
2009-10 20,961 26.6 0.45
2010-11 18,679 25.6 0.44
2011-12 17,121 24.1 0.40
2012-13 14,802 23.3 0.39
2013-14 14,825 23.2 0.39
2014-15 15,205 22.3 0.36
2015-16 15,145 21.1 0.33
Other Disposal6
1997-98 8,348 23.0 0.42
1998-99 7,789 21.5 0.38
1999-00 7,233 21.7 0.37
2000-01 6,435 22.2 0.37
2001-02 6,596 22.5 0.40
2002-03 7,072 23.0 0.41
2003-04 7,399 22.1 0.39
2004-05 8,015 22.3 0.39
2005-06 8,488 23.8 0.41
2006-07 9,438 23.7 0.42
2007-08 9,502 23.2 0.41
2008-09 9,601 23.5 0.44
2009-10 9,489 22.1 0.39
2010-11 9,483 21.9 0.39
2011-12 8,737 22.6 0.40
2012-13 8,466 21.2 0.38
2013-14 8,522 21.0 0.39
2014-15 9,779 21.3 0.37
2015-16 10,045 20.1 0.33

1. Figures for previous cohorts may differ from previously published figures as updated information is fed into the Scottish Offenders Index.

2. Caution is needed when comparing reconvictions between different disposals. A disposal may affect the reconviction rates, but different disposals are given for different types of offending behaviour, which are themselves also likely to affect reconviction rates.

3. Discharged from custody includes imprisonment and admission to a young offenders institution, and from 2010-11 also includes a small number of offenders (between 5 and 16 per cohort) given Orders for Lifelong Restriction.

4. Legacy community order refers to Community Service Orders (CSOs) and Probation Orders (POs) which were replaced by Community Payback Orders for crimes or offences committed after 1 February 2011. Legacy community orders given after 1 February 2011 are for crimes or offences committed prior to 1 February 2011.

5. Community Payback Orders (CPOs) were introduced by the Criminal Justice and Licensing (Scotland) Act 2010 and came into effect from 1 February 2011. The CPO replaces provisions for Community Service Orders, Probation Orders, and Supervised Attendance Orders.

6. Includes Supervised Attendance Orders.

Contact

Andrew Morgan

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