Reconviction Rates in Scotland: 2018-19 Offender Cohort
Analyses of trends in reconviction statistics up to the latest cohort of 2018-19.
Table 10a: Reconviction rates and average number of reconvictions per offender, by custodial sentence length: 1997-98 to 2018-19 cohorts
1,2,3
Custodial sentence length | Number of offenders | Reconviction rate | Average number of reconvictions per offender |
---|---|---|---|
3 months or less | |||
1997-98 | 2,726 | 56.7 | 1.33 |
1998-99 | 2,552 | 59.3 | 1.43 |
1999-00 | 2,538 | 55.5 | 1.28 |
2000-01 | 2,395 | 58.1 | 1.31 |
2001-02 | 2,458 | 58.3 | 1.37 |
2002-03 | 2,636 | 61.4 | 1.50 |
2003-04 | 2,472 | 63.1 | 1.51 |
2004-05 | 2,563 | 61.5 | 1.44 |
2005-06 | 2,725 | 59.1 | 1.37 |
2006-07 | 3,066 | 60.7 | 1.40 |
2007-08 | 2,870 | 59.0 | 1.35 |
2008-09 | 2,360 | 59.6 | 1.38 |
2009-10 | 2,067 | 58.9 | 1.33 |
2010-11 | 1,823 | 61.6 | 1.35 |
2011-12 | 1,406 | 59.6 | 1.36 |
2012-13 | 1,406 | 60.5 | 1.39 |
2013-14 | 1,309 | 60.9 | 1.34 |
2014-15 | 1,298 | 60.6 | 1.27 |
2015-16 | 1,325 | 58.7 | 1.27 |
2016-17 | 1,156 | 58.5 | 1.26 |
2017-18 | 1,066 | 57.8 | 1.18 |
2018-19 | 967 | 60.9 | 1.22 |
Over 3 months to 6 months | |||
1997-98 | 1,455 | 57.9 | 1.22 |
1998-99 | 1,403 | 57.9 | 1.31 |
1999-00 | 1,331 | 56.7 | 1.23 |
2000-01 | 1,325 | 58.0 | 1.24 |
2001-02 | 1,431 | 57.2 | 1.33 |
2002-03 | 1,378 | 60.0 | 1.37 |
2003-04 | 1,348 | 59.8 | 1.33 |
2004-05 | 1,337 | 57.2 | 1.31 |
2005-06 | 1,372 | 56.9 | 1.31 |
2006-07 | 1,470 | 57.9 | 1.29 |
2007-08 | 1,450 | 58.0 | 1.34 |
2008-09 | 1,901 | 55.0 | 1.20 |
2009-10 | 1,936 | 54.1 | 1.15 |
2010-11 | 2,023 | 53.2 | 1.11 |
2011-12 | 2,334 | 53.3 | 1.19 |
2012-13 | 2,303 | 51.8 | 1.13 |
2013-14 | 2,211 | 54.6 | 1.09 |
2014-15 | 2,025 | 54.5 | 1.18 |
2015-16 | 1,978 | 52.6 | 1.08 |
2016-17 | 1,839 | 51.0 | 1.03 |
2017-18 | 1,739 | 48.6 | 1.01 |
2018-19 | 1,707 | 53.5 | 1.08 |
Over 6 months to 1 year | |||
1997-98 | 595 | 35.6 | 0.66 |
1998-99 | 533 | 33.0 | 0.61 |
1999-00 | 540 | 37.4 | 0.71 |
2000-01 | 492 | 34.3 | 0.64 |
2001-02 | 577 | 40.7 | 0.75 |
2002-03 | 518 | 35.9 | 0.66 |
2003-04 | 563 | 36.4 | 0.72 |
2004-05 | 558 | 33.3 | 0.69 |
2005-06 | 575 | 35.8 | 0.66 |
2006-07 | 630 | 37.3 | 0.70 |
2007-08 | 771 | 36.7 | 0.67 |
2008-09 | 1,033 | 44.3 | 0.83 |
2009-10 | 1,181 | 42.3 | 0.82 |
2010-11 | 1,219 | 41.6 | 0.80 |
2011-12 | 1,251 | 42.8 | 0.81 |
2012-13 | 1,342 | 42.3 | 0.80 |
2013-14 | 1,291 | 43.1 | 0.78 |
2014-15 | 1,176 | 40.9 | 0.75 |
2015-16 | 1,219 | 41.2 | 0.79 |
2016-17 | 1,178 | 38.2 | 0.72 |
2017-18 | 1,114 | 40.5 | 0.72 |
2018-19 | 1,149 | 41.2 | 0.72 |
Over 1 year to 2 years | |||
1997-98 | 566 | 30.4 | 0.52 |
1998-99 | 489 | 33.1 | 0.55 |
1999-00 | 511 | 29.2 | 0.48 |
2000-01 | 495 | 32.3 | 0.54 |
2001-02 | 552 | 29.9 | 0.50 |
2002-03 | 507 | 30.2 | 0.54 |
2003-04 | 556 | 30.9 | 0.52 |
2004-05 | 636 | 32.9 | 0.55 |
2005-06 | 552 | 28.6 | 0.48 |
2006-07 | 643 | 30.3 | 0.54 |
2007-08 | 804 | 35.2 | 0.59 |
2008-09 | 944 | 34.2 | 0.53 |
2009-10 | 1,072 | 34.4 | 0.60 |
2010-11 | 1,026 | 32.0 | 0.53 |
2011-12 | 1,030 | 32.7 | 0.59 |
2012-13 | 1,170 | 33.0 | 0.54 |
2013-14 | 1,125 | 30.6 | 0.50 |
2014-15 | 1,070 | 29.9 | 0.48 |
2015-16 | 1,125 | 31.3 | 0.51 |
2016-17 | 1,134 | 31.8 | 0.53 |
2017-18 | 1,138 | 29.8 | 0.51 |
2018-19 | 1,115 | 33.0 | 0.50 |
Over 2 years to less than 4 years | |||
1997-98 | 387 | 28.2 | 0.38 |
1998-99 | 359 | 25.6 | 0.41 |
1999-00 | 352 | 21.9 | 0.32 |
2000-01 | 366 | 20.8 | 0.30 |
2001-02 | 378 | 27.5 | 0.44 |
2002-03 | 396 | 27.0 | 0.46 |
2003-04 | 365 | 27.7 | 0.45 |
2004-05 | 423 | 22.9 | 0.41 |
2005-06 | 397 | 23.2 | 0.38 |
2006-07 | 483 | 25.9 | 0.43 |
2007-08 | 534 | 22.3 | 0.36 |
2008-09 | 615 | 27.0 | 0.44 |
2009-10 | 623 | 29.2 | 0.48 |
2010-11 | 733 | 27.0 | 0.43 |
2011-12 | 759 | 27.3 | 0.43 |
2012-13 | 707 | 26.3 | 0.40 |
2013-14 | 660 | 25.6 | 0.39 |
2014-15 | 640 | 23.4 | 0.36 |
2015-16 | 582 | 25.4 | 0.39 |
2016-17 | 583 | 27.1 | 0.38 |
2017-18 | 582 | 26.8 | 0.37 |
2018-19 | 586 | 29.7 | 0.41 |
Over 4 years | |||
1997-98 | 404 | 21.5 | 0.32 |
1998-99 | 484 | 21.5 | 0.28 |
1999-00 | 487 | 14.8 | 0.17 |
2000-01 | 497 | 15.3 | 0.17 |
2001-02 | 552 | 17.8 | 0.24 |
2002-03 | 572 | 18.0 | 0.23 |
2003-04 | 583 | 18.2 | 0.23 |
2004-05 | 607 | 16.0 | 0.20 |
2005-06 | 622 | 17.7 | 0.21 |
2006-07 | 620 | 14.0 | 0.16 |
2007-08 | 626 | 13.7 | 0.16 |
2008-09 | 557 | 14.5 | 0.18 |
2009-10 | 556 | 16.7 | 0.18 |
2010-11 | 469 | 13.2 | 0.16 |
2011-12 | 533 | 13.7 | 0.16 |
2012-13 | 506 | 10.5 | 0.12 |
2013-14 | 527 | 10.2 | 0.12 |
2014-15 | 490 | 13.7 | 0.15 |
2015-16 | 524 | 9.2 | 0.10 |
2016-17 | 506 | 11.1 | 0.13 |
2017-18 | 498 | 10.2 | 0.12 |
2018-19 | 417 | 7.7 | 0.09 |
1. This table includes imprisonment, admission to young offenders' institution, Extended Sentences (from 2005-06), Supervised Release Orders (from 2006-07) and Orders for Lifelong Restriction (from 2010-11).
2. Figures for previous cohorts may differ from previously published figures as updated information is fed into the Scottish Offenders Index.
3. Caution is needed when comparing reconvictions between different sentence lengths. The length of a sentence may affect the reconviction rates, but different lengths of sentence are given for different types of offending behaviour, which are themselves also likely to affect reconviction rates.
Contact
Email: Justice_Analysts@gov.scot
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