Restricting promotions of food and drink high in fat, sugar or salt: business and regulatory impact assessment - partial
Partial business and regulatory impact assessment of proposals to restrict promotions of food and drink high in fat sugar or salt (HFSS).
Footnotes
1 Please note that we use the term “foods” to mean food or drink, excluding alcoholic drinks. Alcoholic drinks have little/no essential nutrients and those high in sugar could be considered to be within the category of ‘high in fat, sugar or salt’. However, alcohol has its own regulatory regime.
2 Equality, opportunity, community: New leadership - A fresh start - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
3 McGill et al (2015) Are interventions to promote healthy eating equally effective for all? Systematic review of socioeconomic inequalities in impact
4 Scottish Dietary Goals, March 2016 (gov.scot)
5 The Scottish Diet - It needs to change 2020 update | Food Standards Scotland
6 World Obesity: Addressing weight stigma and misconceptions about obesity in Europe
11 The Scottish Health Survey 2022: summary report - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
12 Diet, nutrition and the prevention of excess weight gain and obesity - PubMed (nih.gov) (2004); Tackling obesities: future choices - mid-term review (publishing.service.gov.uk) (2007)
13 Leigh Sparks and Steve Burt, University of Stirling for Food Standards Scotland, Identifying and Understanding the Factors that can Transform the Retail Environment to Enable Healthier Purchasing by Consumers (2017) (foodstandards.gov.scot)
15 Rapid Evidence Review - Restriction of Price Promotions (healthscotland.scot) (2017); Food marketing exposure and power and their associations with food-related attitudes, beliefs and behaviours: a narrative review (who.int) (2022)
19 Scottish Government, October 2017 A healthier future - action and ambitions on diet, activity, and healthy weight: consultation - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
20 Scottish Government, April 2018 A Healthier Future: analysis of consultation responses - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
21 Scottish Government, October 2018 Reducing health harms of foods high in fat, sugar or salt: consultation - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
22 Discretionary foods are those that provide little or no nutritional benefit and are not necessary for a healthy diet. Examples include confectionary, crisps, pastries, cakes, sweet biscuits and soft drinks with added sugar.
23 Scottish Government, September 2019 Reducing health harms of foods high in fat, sugar, or salt: consultation analysis - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
25 Briefing paper on Discretionary foods (foodstandards.gov.scot)
26 Reducing Health Harms of Foods High in Fat, Sugar or Salt: Consultation Paper (www.gov.scot)
27 IBDR extract provided by Scottish Government business statistics team
28 Sourced from report in preparation from Food Standards Scotland
29 Food Standards Scotland, Analysis of data from Kantar Worldpanel, Purchase Panel, Scotland 2022 (report in preparation)
30 Weighing the impact of HFSS laws (kantar.com)
31 Extracted from Nomis - Official Census and Labour Market Statistics (nomisweb.co.uk) on 30 November 2023
32 Earnings and working hours - Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
35 Food Standards Scotland, Analysis of data from Kantar Worldpanel, Purchase Panel, Scotland 2022 (report in preparation)
36 Scotland's Census 2022 - Rounded population estimates | Scotland's Census (scotlandscensus.gov.uk)
37 Food Standards Scotland, Analysis of data from Kantar Worldpanel, Purchase Panel, Scotland 2022 (report in preparation)
38 Foods failing a NPM test from Table 9 of Annex A -The 2018 review of the UK nutrient profiling model (publishing.service.gov.uk)
39 Non-weighted average of chocolate confectionery and sugar confectionery
40 Non-weighted average of all soft drink categories excluding water, still/sparking and flavoured
41 Non-weighted average of breakfast cereal high fibre and breakfast cereal other
42 Assumptions taken from UK Government impact assessment, which in turn was based on 2017 IGD study of German supermarkets. The impact assessment notes the lack of UK specific information.
48 This is assumed to be 20% for the lower scenario and 40% for the upper scenario to provide a an illustrative of sensitivity of the estimates.
49 The UK Government impact assessment notes this assumption is uncertain. “We therefore assume that HFSS items removed from checkouts continue to generate 30% of their sales in aisle locations. This is an unevidenced assumption, chosen to be roughly double the figure provided by the German study which was thought to be an under-estimate. No additional evidence or data on how much sales these products will continue to generate within aisles was submitted through the consultation, and due to the commercial sensitive nature of the data, we were not able to gather it through further stakeholder engagement. This assumption was further tested with stakeholders, but received no responses.” Impact assessment of restricting checkout, end-of-aisle, and store entrance sales of food and drinks high in fat, salt, and sugar (HFSS) (publishing.service.gov.uk)
50 Including meal deals and Temporary Price Reductions
54 The model is only quantifying the benefits of reduced calories and not any of the other potential nutritional benefits from the policy
58 the term “policy measure” or “measure” refers to any proposed or existing policy, regulation, law or other government intervention
59 ONS, DBR extract for March 2021. Includes registered private sector businesses only for selected SIC codes identified by SG officials.
60 Industry Sector - Businesses in Scotland: 2022 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
61 Situation Report - The Scottish Diet: It Needs to Change (2020 update) (foodstandards.gov.scot)
63 Consultation on Restricting Promotions of Food and Drink High in Fat, Sugar or Salt (www.gov.scot)
65 Discount rates and the monetised value of a QALY are given in the HMT green book.
66 Based on DHSC Calorie Model 3.1.2, Evidence note - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk), used with assistance and permission gratefully received from the UK Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC)
Contact
Email: dietpolicy@gov.scot
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