Scotland National Strategy for Economic Transformation: evidence paper
This Evidence Paper presents evidence on the structure and performance of Scotland’s economy, and identifies areas where the new National Strategy for Economic Transformation must take action to deliver transformational improvements to Scotland’s economic performance.
Charts and Tables
Charts
Figure 2.1.1 - Scotland GDP Growth, 2000 to 2021
Figure 2.1.2 - GDP per Head in OECD Countries, 2019
Figure 2.2.1 - Scotland Productivity (Output per Hour) Trends, 1998 to 2018
Figure 2.2.2 - OECD Countries GDP per hour worked (US$, PPP, 2017)
Figure 2.2.3 - Scotland Productivity (Output per Hour) Trends by Broad Industry Group (Real Terms)
Figure 2.2.4 - Scotland Productivity Levels (GVA (£) per Hour) by Broad Industry Group (Current Prices), 2018
Figure 2.3.1 - Changing Structure of Scotland's Economy, Share of GVA by Broad Sector, 1951 to 2017
Figure 2.3.2 - Structure of Scotland's Economy: GVA by Sector, 2017
Figure 2.4.1 - Scotland Employment Trends, 2012 to 2021
Figure 2.4.2 - Employment rate (Per cent) (16-64 years) Scotland by equality characteristic
Figure 2.4.3 - Scotland's Employment by Industry, 2017
Figure 2.5.1 - Gross Median Weekly Full-time Pay; Scotland 2005-2021
Figure 2.5.2 - Proportion of employees earning below the real living wage, 2012-2021
Figure 2.6.1 - Scotland GVA Per Capita by Regional Economic Partnership Area
Figure 2.6.2 - Proportion of Workless Households by Scottish Local Authority Areas, 2020
Figure 2.7.1 - Total number of private sector businesses (registered and unregistered) in Scotland by sector
Figure 2.7.2 - Share of businesses, employment and turnover by size, Scotland, 2020
Figure 2.7.3 - Total number of private sector businesses in Scotland by size
Figure 2.7.4 - Number of registered private sector businesses in Scotland by broad sector
Figure 3.1.1 - Productivity and wellbeing economy framework
Figure 3.1.2 - Productivity & Wellbeing Relationship
Figure 3.1.3 - Relationship between productivity and weekly pay by sector (SIC Section)
Figure 3.1.4 - Real GVA per hour by Broad Industry Grouping, £ per hour
Figure 3.1.5 - Relationship between high performing tradeable sub-sectors (SIC division) in both productivity (GVA per head) and employment (top 25% of total industries
Figure 3.1.6 - Relationship between tradeable sub-sectors (SIC division) that perform poorly in productivity (GVA per head) (bottom 25% of total industries) but highly in employment (top 25% of total industries)
Figure 3.1.5 - Relationship between high performing non-tradeable sub-sectors (SIC division) in both productivity (GVA per head) and employment (top 25% of total industries
Figure 3.1.9 - Productivity growth by broad sector
Figure 3.1.6 - Real GVA per Worker by business size, 2010-2018
Figure 3.1.7 - Nominal GVA per hour, by ITL3 area, 2019 (smoothed; index, UK = 100)
Figure 3.1.8 - Gross Expenditure on Research and Development across the OECD
Figure 3.1.9 - Higher Education Expenditure on Research and Development across the OECD
Figure 3.1.10 - Business Enterprise Expenditure on Research and Development across the OECD
Figure 3.1.11 - Share of Innovation active businesses in Scotland, 2016 to 2018
Figure 3.1.12 - Trends in Scotland's Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Figure 3.1.13 - Comparing Scotland's GFCF as % of GDP against OECD Countries
Figure 3.1.14 - Business Investment as a share of GDP (%) – select OECD countries
Figure 3.1.15 - Business Investment as a share of GDP (%) – select OECD countries
Figure 3.1.16 - Public Sector (Government) Investment as a share of GDP (%) – 10 year average
Figure 3.1.17 - Small and Medium Sized Business Lending – 2011 Q3-2021 Q2
Figure 3.1.18 - In what ways, if any, have digital technologies impacted on your business productivity, innovation and low carbon working? (%)
Figure 3.1.19 - Percentage of households in areas served by Full Fibre (end of 2019)
Figure 3.1.20 - Adoption of key digital technologies (%) by Scottish businesses
Figure 3.1.21 - How equipped staff as a whole are in terms of skills to meet the business' digital technology needs (%)
Figure 3.1.22 - Is your business taking any action to develop your current employees' digital technology skills, for example providing or investing in training?
Figure 3.1.23 - Percentage of Public / Active Transport as Usual Method of Travel to Work
Figure 3.1.24 - Percentage of adults very or fairly satisfied with public transport
Figure 3.1.25 - Percentage of total passenger kms by car
Figure 3.1.26 - Density of Rail Network, KM/1000 sq KM
Figure 3.1.27 - Density of rail network: KM/1000 population
Figure 3.1.28 - Outbound international freight (by weight) from UK port 2000 – 2020
Figure 3.1.29 - Cargo handled by Major Scottish Ports by direction and partner region (2017-20, average tonnage ['000])
Figure 3.1.30 - Air freight lifted at UK airports (tonnes)
Figure 3.2.1 - Percentage of employees earning below the real living wage (18 years and above), Scotland
Figure 3.2.2 - Percentage Distribution of employees earning below the real living wage (18 years and above) across sectors, 2012, 2016, and 2021, Scotland
Figure 3.2.3 – Employees Earning Less than the Real Living Wage by Sector – 2019
Figure 3.2.4 - Low-wage earners as a proportion of all employees (excluding apprentices) 2018
Figure 3.2.5 - Palma ratio of income inequality 1992-97 to 2017-20, Scotland
Figure 3.2.6 - Gender Pay gap for Median Full-time and All Hourly Earnings (excluding overtime) Scotland and UK April 1997 to 2021
Figure 3.2.7 - Ethnicity and disability Pay Gap
Figure 3.2.8 - Proportion of Children (0 - 15 years) living in low-income families by Local Authority Areas: 2019-20
Figure 3.2.9 - Regional Inequality in GDP per head: 1998-2019
Figure 3.3.1 - Total Scottish GVA in each scenario (£billion)
Figure 3.3.2 - Total number of Scottish jobs in each scenario
Figure 3.3.3 - Index of car KM driven in Scotland, 1993-2019 (2019=100)
Figure 3.3.4 - Value of Scotland's Exports by Industry
Figure 3.3.5 - Scottish International Exports as a share of GDP, 1998-2020 (%)
Figure 3.3.6 - Exports as a percentage of GDP; selected small, advanced economies, 2018
Figure 3.3.7 - Scotland's trade performance in key markets
Figure 3.3.8 - Scotland's trade performance by economic sector
Figure 3.3.9 - HMRC Regional trade in goods statistics disaggregated by smaller geographical areas: 2016- 2019 (1)
Figure 3.3.10 - HMRC Regional trade in goods statistics disaggregated by smaller geographical areas: 2016- 2019(2)
Figure 3.4.1 - Scotland's Total Early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) rate
Figure 3.4.2 - Total Early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) rate across Selected OECD Countries, 2020
Figure 3.4.3 - Scotland Total Early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) by Gender, 2006 to 2020
Figure 3.4.4 - Number of Business in Scotland per 10,000 adults by region, 2020
Figure 3.4.5 - Start-up Survival Rate in Scotland, 2004 to 2018
Figure 3.4.6 - 3-Year and 5-Year Survival Rate: Scotland compared with OECD Countries, 2018
Figure 3.4.7 - Trends in High Growth Firms in Scotland
Figure 3.4.8 - High growth firms across time by sector (% of total firms with 10+ employees)
Figure 3.4.9 - VAT/PAYE business registrations (business births per 10,000) adults 2018
Figure 3.4.10 - High Growth Registered Private Sector Enterprises as a share of all VAT/PAYE registered Private Sector Enterprises
Figure 3.5.1 - Vacancy and Skills, Scotland, 2015, 2017 and 2020
Figure 3.5.2 - Percentage (%) of employers reporting a skills shortage vacancy, by sector Scotland: 2017, 2020
Figure 3.5.3 - Incidence and density of skills gaps over time by country (Per cent)
Figure 3.5.4 - Percentage of population (25 to 64 years) with low or no qualification, 2004 to 2020
Figure 3.5.5 - Proportion of population (25 to 64 years) with at least tertiary education
Figure 3.5.6 - Scotland's Demographic Trends Population by age group in Scotland, mid-1993 to mid-2043
Figure 3.5.7 - Percentage of sector workers aged 50-64 years
Figure 3.5.8 - Number and percentage of foreign born workers in total sector employment, Scotland 2019
Figure 3.5.9 - Percentage of population (all ages) which are foreign born, foreign born employment rate (16-64 years)
Figure 3.5.10 - Inactivity rate (16-64), Scotland and UK, 2004 to 2020
Figure 3.5.11 - Inactivity by reason Scotland and UK (percentage of all inactive 16-64 years) 2010-2021
Figure 3.5.12 - Economic Inactivity rate (16-64 years) across selected advanced economies
Figure 3.5.13 - Percentage of people in employment defined as 'matched', 16 to 64, UK, 4 quarter rolling averages
Figure 3.5.14 - Percentage of people in employment defined as 'mismatched', 16 to 64, UK, 4 quarter rolling averages
Figure 3.5.15 - Underutilised staff in Scotland as a proportion of workforce by sector, 16 to 64
Figure 4.1 - Scotland's GDP baseline, 2019 = 100
Figure 4.2 - GDP and Employment Growth and Transformation Scenario
Figure 5.1.1 - Inclusive Growth and Development Framework
Tables
Table 3.1.1 - Number of FDI Deals in Scotland by Sector, 2016 to 2020
Table 3.1.2 - Fixed Broadband Connectivity at Different Speeds
Table 3.1.3 - Indoor premise 4G coverage by UK nation (all operators)
Table 3.1.4 - Distribution of 4G Not Spots - UK
Table 3.3.1 - Summary of UK and Scottish content for all projects considered in the analysis
Table 3.4.1 - Constraints to Entrepreneurship in Scotland: Summary of Evidence
Table 3.4.2 - Obstacles to business success by business size, SME Employers, 2019
Table 5.1.1 - Top ranking countries on the WEF Inclusive Development Index (2018) and their Global Competitiveness Index ranks (2019)
Contact
Email: Cornilius.Chikwama@gov.scot
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