Scottish Budget 2021-2022: Equality and Fairer Scotland Budget statement
This report assesses the Equality and Fairer Scotland impacts of the Scottish Budget 2021-2022.
Footnotes
1 Background briefing paper on human rights budgeting and budget analysis by Ann Blyberg for the Scottish Human Rights Commission.
2 Additional poverty analysis 2020 – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
3 Scottish surveys core questions: 2018 analytical tables – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
4 Scotland’s Wellbeing: The Impact of COVID-19 | National Performance Framework
8 Social Renewal Advisory Board – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
9 If not now, when? – Social Renewal Advisory Board report: January 2021 – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
10 NPF_Impact_of_COVID-19_December_2020.pdf (nationalperformance.gov.scot)
11 Statistics from the ONS Annual Population Survey – Jan-Dec 2019
12 Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme statistics, HMRC (December 2020)
13 Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme statistics, HMRC (August 2020)
15 Resolution Foundation (2020) Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
16 Latest Statistics published 25 Nov 2020. Available at: Scotland’s Devolved Employment Services: statistical summary - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
17 Young-workers-in-the-coronavirus-crisis.pdf (resolutionfoundation.org)
18 Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme statistics: December 2020 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)
19 ONS, Annual Population Survey, January-December 2011
20 ONS, Annual Population Survey, October 2019 – September 2020
21 https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/staff/swarulampalam/publications/wagelossintrod.pdf
22 Delivering the Youth Guarantee - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
23 The Young Person’s Guarantee | My World of Work
24 https://www.gov.scot/publications/young-persons-guarantee-phase-1-activity-plan/
25 https://www.gov.scot/publications/one-left-behind-review-employability-services/pages/6/
28 Scottish Household Survey, 2018
29 Time use survey 2014-2015: results for Scotland - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
30 ONS, Annual Population Survey, July 2019 – June 2020
31 Gender Pay Gap Action Plan: Analytical Annex (www.gov.scot)
32 Family Friendly Working Scotland, 2018. The Timewise Flexible Jobs Index Scotland.
33 Policymakers (closethegap.org.uk)
34 Gender Pay Gap Action Plan: Analytical Annex (www.gov.scot)
35 ONS, Annual Population Survey, Jan-Dec 2019
36 ONS, Annual Population Survey, Jan-Dec 2019
38 See for example: https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/2019/10/Risky-business.pdf; https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/14860
40 Coronavirus and the social impacts on Great Britain
41 How Are Mothers and Fathers Balancing Work and Family under Lockdown?
42 The COVID-19 Gender Gap – IMF Blog
43 https://www.closethegap.org.uk/content/resources/Gender--Economic-Recovery---Engender-andClose-the-Gap.pdf; https://www.oecd.org/dev/development-gender/Unpaid_care_work.pdf; https://www.gcu.ac.uk/wise/media/gcalwebv2/theuniversity/centresprojects/wise/98178%20WiSE%20 BREIFING%20PAPER%204%20August.pdf
45 Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme statistics: December 2020 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)
46 https://www.gov.scot/publications/fairer-scotland-women-gender-pay-gap-action-plan/
47 http://www.employabilityinscotland.com/participants-and-barriers/women-and-work/women-returners/
49 https://www.flexibilityworks.org/
50 Scotland’s Gender Equality Index 2020 (data.gov.scot)
51 Understanding Society - Gender and Work in Scotland: research findings - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
53 https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/covid19/covid-deaths-report-week-50.pdf
54 https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/covid19/covid-deaths-report-week-50.pdf
55 https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/covid19/covid-deaths-report-week-50.pdf
57 https://beta.isdscotland.org/media/6736/ethnicity-tables.xlsx
60 NHS Health Scotland (2018), The Scottish Burden of Disease Study, 2016: Deprivation Report, available at: https://www.scotpho.org.uk/media/1656/sbod2016-deprivation-report-aug18.pdf
61 Alcohol Framework 2018 – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
64 Evaluation of minimum unit pricing (MUP) – Alcohol – Health topics – Public Health Scotland
65 Evidence comes from a number of sources, including the Scottish COVID Mental Health Tracker Study; 3 evidence papers produced by the Scottish Government’s COVID-19 Mental Health Research Advisory Group (published along with minutes of April, June and July meetings) and surveillance reports from Public Health England. A summary of evidence on mental health impacts of COVID-19 is included in the Scottish Government’s Coronavirus (COVID-19): mental health – transition and recovery plan.
66 Coronavirus (COVID-19): mental health tracker study – wave 1 report – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
67 Coronavirus (COVID-19): mental health – transition and recovery plan – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
68 Coronavirus (COVID-19): Mental Health Research Advisory Group – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
69 Coronavirus (COVID-19): mental health – transition and recovery plan – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
70 COVID-19 and digital inequalities: Reciprocal impacts and mitigation strategies – ScienceDirect
71 https://dera.ioe.ac.uk/10491/3/A9RF934_Redacted.pdf; LOW-RES-3999-CUKT-Switched-On-Report-ONLINE.pdf (d1ssu070pg2v9i.cloudfront.net); https://d1ssu070pg2v9i.cloudfront.net/pex/carnegie_uk_trust/2016/09/v3-2697-CUKT-Digital-Participation-summary.pdf
72 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0747563220301771
74 https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/itandinternetindustry/bulletins/internetusers/2019
75 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0747563220301771#cebib0010
76 https://committees.parliament.uk/oralevidence/387/pdf/; https://www.ey.com/en_uk/tmt/top-10-challenges-and-opportunities-for-covid-19-impacted-digital-home
77 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0747563220301771#cebib0010
79 https://d1ssu070pg2v9i.cloudfront.net/pex/carnegie_uk_trust/2019/02/21143338/LOW-RES-3999-CUKT-Switched-On-Report-ONLINE.pdf; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0747563220301771#cebib0010
80 https://committees.parliament.uk/oralevidence/387/pdf/; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0747563220301771#cebib0010
81 Video consultations – public and clinician views: consultation summary – gov.scot (www.gov.scot) Near Me video consulting programme: equality impact assessment – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
82 Poverty & Income Inequality in Scotland: 2016-19 (infographic) (www.gov.scot)
83 Labour market overview, UK – Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
84 Out of work benefits – Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
85 Covid+and+Inequalities+Final+Report+For+Publication+-+PDF.pdf (www.gov.scot)
86 Covid+and+Inequalities+Final+Report+For+Publication+-+PDF.pdf (www.gov.scot)
87 Wealth in Scotland 2006-2018 (data.gov.scot)
88 Rainy-Days.pdf (resolutionfoundation.org)
89 Poverty in Scotland 2019 | JRF
90 Scottish Government, Tackling Child Poverty Delivery Plan – second year progress report, August 2020
91 Tackling child poverty: first year progress report (2018 to 2019) - gov.scot (www.gov.scot) and Tackling child poverty: second year progress report (2019-2020) – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
92 https://www.childrensparliament.org.uk/our-work/children-and-coronavirus/
93 https://cpag.org.uk/policy-and-campaigns/report/cost-learning-lockdown-family-experiences-school-closures; https://www.gov.scot/publications/impact-assessment-closure-reopening-schools-part-covid-19-recovery-process-scotland_version-2/; https://www.gov.scot/publications/equity-audit-deepening-understanding-impact-covid-19-school-building-closures-children-socio-economically-disadvantaged-backgrounds-setting-clear-areas-focus-accelerating-recovery/
94 https://cypcs.org.uk/wpcypcs/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/CRIA-appendix-education.pdf
95 Skills Development Scotland, Modern Apprenticeship Statistics Quarter 2 2019/20
96 Skills Development Scotland will publish Modern Apprenticeship statistics under official statistics protocols with the year-end statistics (Quarter 4 2020/21) in June 2021. This will include reporting on equality groups.
97 https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/14821
98 College courses lasting 160 hours or more.
99 Scottish Funding Council, College Performance Indicators 2018/19 Executive Summary
100 Coronavirus and higher education students – Office for National Statistics
101 https://www.suttontrust.com/our-research/covid-19-impacts-university-access/
102 https://www.nusconnect.org.uk/resources/covid-19-and-students-survey-report-phase-2-public-version; https://www.nusconnect.org.uk/resources/coronavirus-and-students-phase-3-study-mental-health-with-demographics-nov-2020
103 https://www.nusconnect.org.uk/articles/landmark-research-on-students-mental-health
104 https://www.nusconnect.org.uk/resources/covid-19-and-students-survey-report-phase-2-public-version
105 https://www.advance-he.ac.uk/knowledge-hub/three-months-make-difference
106 https://www.gov.scot/publications/2021-national-improvement-framework-improvement-plan/
109 https://www.gov.scot/publications/evaluation-strategy-attainment-scotland-fund-years-3-4/pages/2/; https://www.gov.scot/publications/evaluation-attainment-scotland-fund-third-interim-report-year-4/
110 https://www.gov.scot/publications/young-persons-guarantee-phase-1-activity-plan/
113 https://www.gov.scot/publications/domestic-abuse-scotland-2018-2019-statistics/
115 https://www.gov.scot/collections/coronavirus-covid-19-scotlands-route-map/
116 https://capmh.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13034-020-00329-3; Schneider, Harknett & McLanahan, 2016. Intimate Partner Violence in the Great Recession. Demography, 53: 471-505 ; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5408954/; https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/369/bmj.m1557.full.pdf
118 https://www.gov.scot/collections/scottish-crime-and-justice-survey/
119 Whilst the SCJS does not provide information on recent victims of Child Sexual Abuse, the equivalent survey in England and Wales found in 2018-19 that less than one quarter of people who experienced such crimes reported them to the police. It would seem reasonable to assume that a similar position might pertain in Scotland, though this is a profoundly sensitive area where there are many barriers to accurate data collection – including a lack of recognition by some children and young people that they are being sexually abused, as well as challenging and ethical questions around the collection of this data.
120 https://www.gov.scot/collections/recorded-crime-in-scotland/
121 For example, further examination of the Official Statistics show that one contributor to the overall fall in April to June 2020 was a 43 per cent reduction in recorded crimes of lewd and libidinous practices (from 316 to 181). These cases all had child victims and must have occurred before December 2010, given the legislation used by police to record them. As such, it seems likely there has been at least a temporary fall in reports of historical CSA during the pandemic. In contrast, there has been a different impact in terms of cyber-enabled crimes, with Police Scotland highlighting in a recent paper to the Scottish Police Authority that online crimes of CSA were 21 per cent higher in April to June 2020 compared to the same period in 2019. See https://www.spa.police.uk/spa-media/fxsem1bg/item-2-1-graphics-version-q2-policing-performance-report.pdf
122 https://www.copfs.gov.uk/publications/equality-and-diversity
126 Last year we invested over £12 million and will increase this to £13 million in 2022.
127 Scotland’s Gender Equality Index 2020 (data.gov.scot)
129 Coronavirus (COVID-19): mental health – transition and recovery plan – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
130 https://www.gov.scot/publications/sexual-orientation-scotland-2017-summary-evidence-base/pages/4/
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