Scottish Housing Market Review: Q2 2023

Quarterly bulletin collating a range of statistics on the Scottish housing market, such as house prices and transactions, rental trends, cost and availability of finance, etc.


7. Mortgage Affordability

The impact of the increase in interest rates can be seen in measures of mortgage affordability. As illustrated by Chart 7.1, over the year to March 2023, the average share of income which is taken up by mortgage payments for new loans for home purchase has increased by 2.5% points for home movers to stand at 18.4%, and by a larger 3.4% points for first-time buyers to stand at 19.6%.

Chart 7.1 Average (Mean) Capital and Interest Payments as a Percentage of Income for New Mortgages: Scotland, % (Monthly)

outlines the average (mean) capital and interest payments as a percentage of income for new mortgages on a monthly basis between March 2005 and March 2023 .

Source: UK Finance

The trends shown in Chart 7.1 are mirrored in Chart 7.2 which shows that over the year to March 2023, the average house-price-to-income ratio has decreased by 0.26 for home movers, to stand at 2.73, and by a similar amount (0.25) for first-time buyers, to stand at 2.95.

Chart 7.2 Average (Mean) House-Price-to-Income Ratio for New Mortgages: Scotland, (Monthly)

provides the average mean house-price-to-income ratio for new mortgages on a monthly basis between March 2005 and March 2023.

Contact

Email: jake.forsyth@gov.scot

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