Climate change: Scottish National Adaptation Plan 2024-2029

Sets out the actions that the Scottish Government and partners will take to respond to the impacts of climate change. This Adaptation Plan sets out actions from 2024 to 2029.


Annex A – UKCCRA3 climate risks and opportunities

The following climate risks and opportunities are identified by the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2022. In line with section 53 of the Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009, the Scottish National Adaptation Plan 2024-29 sets Scottish Ministers objectives in relation to adaptation to climate change and a programme of policies which address these risks.

Risks scored “more action needed”:

  • N1: Risks to terrestrial species and habitats from changing climatic conditions and extreme events, including temperature change, water scarcity, wildfire, flooding, wind, and altered hydrology (including water scarcity, flooding and saline intrusion)
  • N2: Risks to terrestrial species and habitats from pests, pathogens and invasive species
  • N4: Risk to soils from changing climatic conditions, including seasonal aridity and wetness.
  • N5: Risks to natural carbon stores and sequestration from changing climatic conditions, including temperature change and water scarcity.
  • N6: Risks to and opportunities for agricultural and forestry productivity from extreme events and changing climatic conditions (including temperature change, water scarcity, wildfire, flooding, coastal erosion, wind and saline intrusion).
  • N7: Risks to agriculture from pests, pathogens and invasive species
  • N8: Risks to forestry from pests, pathogens and invasive species
  • N11: Risks to freshwater species and habitats from changing climatic conditions and extreme events, including higher water temperatures, flooding, water scarcity and phenological shifts.
  • N12: Risks to freshwater species and habitats from pests, pathogens and invasive species
  • N14: Risks to marine species, habitats and fisheries from changing climatic conditions, including ocean acidification and higher water temperatures.
  • N16: Risks to marine species and habitats from pests, pathogens and invasive species
  • N17: Risks and opportunities to coastal species and habitats due to coastal flooding, erosion and climate factors
  • I1: Risks to infrastructure networks (water, energy, transport, ICT) from cascading failures
  • I2: Risks to infrastructure services from river, surface water and groundwater flooding
  • I5: Risks to transport networks from slope and embankment failure
  • I12: Risks to transport from high and low temperatures, high winds, lightning
  • H1: Risks to health and wellbeing from high temperatures
  • H3: Risks to people, communities and buildings from flooding
  • H4: Risks to people, communities and buildings from sea level rise
  • H6: Risks and opportunities from summer and winter household energy demand
  • H11: Risks to cultural heritage
  • H12: Risks to health and social care delivery
  • H13: Risks to education and prison services
  • B1: Risks to business sites from flooding
  • B2: Risks to business locations and infrastructure from coastal change from erosion, flooding and extreme weather events
  • B6: Risks to business from disruption to supply chains and distribution networks
  • ID1: Risks to UK food availability, safety, and quality from climate change overseas
  • ID4: Risks to the UK from international violent conflict resulting from climate change on the UK
  • ID5: Risks to international law and governance from climate change overseas that will impact the UK
  • ID9: Risk to UK public health from climate change overseas
  • ID7: Risks from climate change on international trade routes
  • ID10: Risk multiplication from the interactions and cascades of named risks across systems and geographies

Risks scored “further investigation”:

  • N18: Risks and opportunities from climate change to landscape character
  • I3: Risks to infrastructure services from coastal flooding and erosion
  • I4: Risks to bridges and pipelines from flooding and erosion
  • I6: Risks to hydroelectric generation from low or high river flows
  • I7: Risks to subterranean and surface infrastructure from subsidence
  • I10: Risks to energy from high and low temperatures, high winds, lightning
  • I13: Risks to digital from high and low temperatures, high winds, lightning
  • H5: Risks to building fabric
  • H7: Risks to health and wellbeing from changes in air quality
  • H8: Risks to health from vector-borne diseases
  • H9: Risks to food safety and food security
  • H10: Risks to health from water quality and household water supply
  • B3: Risks to businesses from water scarcity
  • B5: Risks to business from reduced employee productivity due to infrastructure disruption and higher temperatures in working environments
  • Risks scored “Watching brief” or “Sustain current action”:
  • N10: Risks to aquifers and agricultural land from sea level rise, saltwater intrusion
  • I9: Risks to energy generation from reduced water availability
  • I11: Risks to offshore infrastructure from storms and high waves
  • I8: Risks to public water supplies from reduced water availability
  • B4: Risks to finance, investment and insurance including access to capital for businesses
  • ID8: Risk to the UK finance sector from climate change overseas
  • ID3: Risks to the UK from climate-related international human mobility

CCRA3 opportunities regardless of urgency scoring:

  • N3: Opportunities from new species colonisations in terrestrial habitats
  • N9: Opportunities for agricultural and forestry productivity from new/alternative species becoming suitable
  • N13: Opportunities to freshwater species and habitats from new species colonisations
  • N15: Opportunities to marine species, habitats and fisheries from changing climatic conditions
  • H2: Opportunities for health and wellbeing from higher temperatures
  • B7: Opportunities for business from changes in demand for goods and services
  • ID2: Opportunities for UK food availability and exports from climate impacts overseas
  • ID6: Opportunities from climate change (including arctic ice melt) on international trade routes

Contact

Email: climatechangeadapation@gov.scot

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