Scottish prison population projections

Presents the first projections to be published since the COVID-19 pandemic began. These projections have been produced using ‘microsimulation’ scenario modelling which simulates prison arrivals and departures and estimates the number of individuals in prison on a particular date in the future.


Scottish prison population projections

This report presents short-term Scottish prison population projections for the six month period from April to September 2023. These are the first projections to be published since the Covid-19 pandemic began. They have been produced using 'microsimulation' scenario modelling which simulates prison arrivals and departures, and estimates the number of individuals in prison on a particular date in the future.

The projections are produced to help inform decision making, planning, and policy development.

Contact

Email: justice_analysts@gov.scot

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