Scottish prison population projections

Footnotes

1. Scottish Prison Population Statistics - gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

2. Justice Analytical Services: safer communities and justice statistics monthly report - gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

3. Overview of how crimes are dealt with by the police and Crown Office and Prosecution Service (COPFS) and what happens at court and after a criminal verdict (Scotland's criminal justice system).

4. Coronavirus (COVID-19): Justice Analytical Services data report.

5. Sheriff Courts - remand and bail outcomes: occasional paper.

6. Coronavirus (COVID-19): Justice Analytical Services data report - gov.scot (www.gov.scot) and Sheriff Courts - remand and bail outcomes: occasional paper.

7. Recovery programme courts come into operation (scotcourts.gov.uk).

8. The Management Information and Analysis Team of the Scottish Courts and Tribunals Service produces official statistics and provides management information SCTS Official Published Statistics (scotcourts.gov.uk).

9. Increased from 2,212 to 2,402 between January 2022 and February 2023.

10. Increased from 534 to 681 between January 2022 and February 2023.

11. SCTS Official Published Statistics (scotcourts.gov.uk).

12. Plans for additional trial courts by April 2023 (scotcourts.gov.uk).

13. Introduction - Recorded Crime in Scotland, 2021-[2022]- gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

14. Crime and imprisonment, DG Education Communities and Justice, 2019.

15. Comparable clear up rates for the present crime groups are not available prior to 1976.

16. Key Findings - Scottish prison population: statistics 2019 to 2020 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

17. Scottish prison population: statistics 2019 to 2020 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

18. Criminal proceedings in Scotland: 2018-2019 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

19. Home Detention Curfew (sps.gov.uk).

20. The 2018/19 audit of the Scottish Prison Service.

21. Crime and imprisonment, DG Education Communities and Justice, 2019.

22. SCTS publishes monthly management information that shows how many criminal cases have progressed through different stages of court procedure, from registration to conclusion. This includes data on the number of trials that have been scheduled but not yet called, which is often used as a proxy for the 'backlog' of cases in the system.

23. Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment (PHIA) framework of language for discussing probabilities, Page 5, Epidemiology Modelling Review Group: consensus statement on COVID-19 (publishing.service.gov.uk).

24. The values have been rounded to the nearest 50 and exclude the home detention curfew population. The upper and lower estimates of the total prison population may not be equal to the sum of the sentenced and remand populations as they can be from different scenario variants. For example, the upper estimates for remand, sentenced and total populations are from the low, high, and central scenarios respectively.

25. Criminal Justice Committee, Wednesday 2 November 2022, written submissions from witnesses and from other organisations and individuals (parliament.scot).