Scottish Social Housing Tender Price Index (SSHTPI) quarterly report: December 2023
Information on the Scottish Social Housing Tender Price Index (SSHTPI) and quarterly report for December 2023.
Background
- Tender prices for social housing fell 2.0% in 2Q2023/24 compared with the previous quarter and rose 3.6% compared with 2Q2022/23.
- Underlying construction costs of labour, materials, and plant, as measured by the BCIS General Building Cost Index, rose 1.8% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q2023/24 and by 2.5% compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Tender prices are driven as much by demand as by resource costs. The SSHTPI has tended to reflect the trend in demand from the housing sector. Scottish housing output fell 7.0% in 2Q2023/24 and 15% over the past year. Over the same periods total GB housing output fell 2% and 12%.
- The latest data for housing starts in Scotland are for 1Q2023/24, when 647 social houses were started, nearly 40% down on the same period a year earlier, Private sector starts were down 23%.
- Over the year to 2Q2023/24 underlying inflation, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), rose by 6.7%.
Table 1: SSHTPI Quarterly Index
Published index base 1985 = 100
Calendar quarter |
Financial quarter |
Index value |
Sample size |
Status |
2Q2016 |
1Q2016/17 |
257 |
18 |
Firm |
3Q2016 |
2Q2016/17 |
256 |
35 |
Firm |
4Q2016 |
3Q2016/17 |
257 |
22 |
Firm |
1Q2017 |
4Q2016/17 |
262 |
53 |
Firm |
2Q2017 |
1Q2017/18 |
273 |
7 |
Firm |
3Q2017 |
2Q2017/18 |
288 |
20 |
Firm |
4Q2017 |
3Q2017/18 |
280 |
36 |
Firm |
1Q2018 |
4Q2017/18 |
271 |
45 |
Firm |
2Q2018 |
1Q2018/19 |
276 |
22 |
Firm |
3Q2018 |
2Q2018/19 |
284 |
22 |
Firm |
4Q2018 |
3Q2018/19 |
288 |
38 |
Firm |
1Q2019 |
4Q2018/19 |
292 |
48 |
Firm |
2Q2019 |
1Q2019/20 |
292 |
22 |
Firm |
3Q2019 |
2Q2019/20 |
298 |
31 |
Firm |
4Q2019 |
3Q2019/20 |
303 |
42 |
Firm |
1Q2020 |
4Q2019/20 |
299 |
36 |
Firm |
2Q2020 |
1Q2020/21 |
292 |
6 |
Firm |
3Q2020 |
2Q2020/21 |
294 |
20 |
Firm |
4Q2020 |
3Q2020/21 |
304 |
22 |
Firm |
1Q2021 |
4Q2020/21 |
312 |
24 |
Firm |
2Q2021 |
1Q2021/22 |
322 |
7 |
Firm |
3Q2021 |
2Q2021/22 |
321 |
11 |
Firm |
4Q2021 |
3Q2021/22 |
331 |
26 |
Firm |
1Q2022 |
4Q2021/22 |
355 |
23 |
Firm |
2Q2022 |
1Q2022/23 |
362 |
16 |
Firm |
3Q2022 |
2Q2022/23 |
386 |
17 |
Firm |
4Q2022 |
3Q2022/23 |
386 |
23 |
Firm |
1Q2023 |
4Q2022/23 |
402 |
20 |
Firm |
2Q2023 |
1Q2023/24 |
408 |
17 |
Provisional |
3Q2023 |
2Q2023/24 |
400 |
11 |
Provisional |
Source: Scottish Government
Note: The quarterly index is a smoothed, trimmed geometric mean of the normalised project index (see note on calculation).
Table 2: SSHTPI Location Indices
Calendar quarter 3Q2023, Financial quarter 2Q2023/24, Publication quarter 4Q2023
Location Code |
Location |
Index Value |
Sample Size |
Status |
M |
Mainland |
100 |
309 |
Provisional |
MA |
Scottish Borders |
104 |
6 |
Provisional |
MB |
Clackmannanshire, Stirling, Falkirk |
109 |
15 |
Provisional |
MC |
Dumfries and Galloway |
124 |
9 |
Provisional |
MD |
Fife |
98 |
25 |
Provisional |
ME |
Aberdeenshire and Moray |
107 |
41 |
Provisional |
MF |
Aberdeen City |
73 |
7 |
Provisional |
MG |
Highland |
117 |
24 |
Provisional |
MH |
West Coast |
96 |
12 |
Provisional |
MJ |
City of Edinburgh |
108 |
8 |
Provisional |
MK |
Lothian |
95 |
39 |
Provisional |
ML |
City of Glasgow |
69 |
18 |
Provisional |
MM |
Ayrshire |
99 |
15 |
Provisional |
MN |
Glasgow Environs |
92 |
40 |
Provisional |
MP |
South Lanarkshire |
86 |
12 |
Provisional |
MQ |
Dundee City |
109 |
12 |
Provisional |
MR |
Angus, Perth and Kinross |
97 |
26 |
Provisional |
Z |
Island |
116 |
20 |
Provisional |
ZA |
Orkney Islands |
111 |
6 |
Provisional |
ZB |
Shetland Islands |
132 |
8 |
Provisional |
ZC |
North Ayrshire (island) |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
ZD |
Highland West (island) |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
ZE |
Argyll and Bute (islands) |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
ZF |
Western Isles |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A denotes insufficient sample size.
Note: the location indices are calculated over 15 quarters and are based on the Scottish mean = 100 (See note on calculation).
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