Scottish Social Housing Tender Price Index (SSHTPI) quarterly report: December 2023

Information on the Scottish Social Housing Tender Price Index (SSHTPI) and quarterly report for December 2023.


Background

  • Tender prices for social housing fell 2.0% in 2Q2023/24 compared with the previous quarter and rose 3.6% compared with 2Q2022/23.
  • Underlying construction costs of labour, materials, and plant, as measured by the BCIS General Building Cost Index, rose 1.8% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q2023/24 and by 2.5% compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
  • Tender prices are driven as much by demand as by resource costs. The SSHTPI has tended to reflect the trend in demand from the housing sector. Scottish housing output fell 7.0% in 2Q2023/24 and 15% over the past year. Over the same periods total GB housing output fell 2% and 12%.
  • The latest data for housing starts in Scotland are for 1Q2023/24, when 647 social houses were started, nearly 40% down on the same period a year earlier, Private sector starts were down 23%.
  • Over the year to 2Q2023/24 underlying inflation, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), rose by 6.7%.

Table 1: SSHTPI Quarterly Index

Published index base         1985 = 100

Calendar quarter

Financial quarter

Index value

Sample size

Status

2Q2016

1Q2016/17

257

18

Firm

3Q2016

2Q2016/17

256

35

Firm

4Q2016

3Q2016/17

257

22

Firm

1Q2017

4Q2016/17

262

53

Firm

2Q2017

1Q2017/18

273

7

Firm

3Q2017

2Q2017/18

288

20

Firm

4Q2017

3Q2017/18

280

36

Firm

1Q2018

4Q2017/18

271

45

Firm

2Q2018

1Q2018/19

276

22

Firm

3Q2018

2Q2018/19

284

22

Firm

4Q2018

3Q2018/19

288

38

Firm

1Q2019

4Q2018/19

292

48

Firm

2Q2019

1Q2019/20

292

22

Firm

3Q2019

2Q2019/20

298

31

Firm

4Q2019

3Q2019/20

303

42

Firm

1Q2020

4Q2019/20

299

36

Firm

2Q2020

1Q2020/21

292

6

Firm

3Q2020

2Q2020/21

294

20

Firm

4Q2020

3Q2020/21

304

22

Firm

1Q2021

4Q2020/21

312

24

Firm

2Q2021

1Q2021/22

322

7

Firm

3Q2021

2Q2021/22

321

11

Firm

4Q2021

3Q2021/22

331

26

Firm

1Q2022

4Q2021/22

355

23

Firm

2Q2022

1Q2022/23

362

16

Firm

3Q2022

2Q2022/23

386

17

Firm

4Q2022

3Q2022/23

386

23

Firm

1Q2023

4Q2022/23

402

20

Firm

2Q2023

1Q2023/24

408

17

Provisional

3Q2023

2Q2023/24

400

11

Provisional

Source: Scottish Government

Note: The quarterly index is a smoothed, trimmed geometric mean of the normalised project index (see note on calculation).

Table 2: SSHTPI Location Indices

Calendar quarter 3Q2023, Financial quarter 2Q2023/24, Publication quarter 4Q2023

Location Code

Location

Index Value

Sample Size

Status

M

Mainland

100

309

Provisional

MA

Scottish Borders

104

6

Provisional

MB

Clackmannanshire, Stirling, Falkirk

109

15

Provisional

MC

Dumfries and Galloway

124

9

Provisional

MD

Fife

98

25

Provisional

ME

Aberdeenshire and Moray

107

41

Provisional

MF

Aberdeen City

73

7

Provisional

MG

Highland

117

24

Provisional

MH

West Coast

96

12

Provisional

MJ

City of Edinburgh

108

8

Provisional

MK

Lothian

95

39

Provisional

ML

City of Glasgow

69

18

Provisional

MM

Ayrshire

99

15

Provisional

MN

Glasgow Environs

92

40

Provisional

MP

South Lanarkshire

86

12

Provisional

MQ

Dundee City

109

12

Provisional

MR

Angus, Perth and Kinross

97

26

Provisional

Z

Island

116

20

Provisional

ZA

Orkney Islands

111

6

Provisional

ZB

Shetland Islands

132

8

Provisional

ZC

North Ayrshire (island)

N/A

N/A

N/A

ZD

Highland West (island)

N/A

N/A

N/A

ZE

Argyll and Bute (islands)

N/A

N/A

N/A

ZF

Western Isles

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A denotes insufficient sample size.

Note: the location indices are calculated over 15 quarters and are based on the Scottish mean = 100 (See note on calculation).

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