Securing a green recovery on a path to net zero: climate change plan 2018–2032 - update
This update to Scotland's 2018-2032 Climate Change Plan sets out the Scottish Government's pathway to our new and ambitious targets set by the Climate Change Act 2019. It is a key strategic document on our green recovery from COVID-19.
Footnotes
1 Targets set in law in the Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009 (as amended by the Climate Change (Emissions Reduction Targets) (Scotland) Act 2019)
2 This will support the 2045 vision of Scotland’s Environment Strategy: By restoring nature and ending Scotland’s contribution to climate change, our country is transformed for the better - helping to secure the wellbeing of our people and planet for generations to come.
3 [Reference for Ipsos Mori Research]
4 See ‘Research into public attitudes to climate change policy and a green recovery: report of findings’ as a supporting document here: https://www.gov.scot/isbn/9781800044302
7 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-020-00708-7
9 See ‘Research into public attitudes to climate change policy and a green recovery: report of findings’ as a supporting document here: https://www.gov.scot/isbn/9781800044302
10 COVID-19 Public Attitudes Survey Data: Wave 10, published 19 November 2020, accessible: https://www.transport.gov.scot/publication/covid-19-public-attitudes-survey-data-wave-10/
12 A National Mission with Local Impact - draft infrastructure investment plan 2021 2022 to 2025 2026: consultation: https://www.gov.scot/publications/national-mission-local-impact-draft-infrastructure-investment-plan-scotland-202122-202526/
14 For more information, go to the Utilities section at Scottish Government Frameworks and Contracts: www.gov.scot/publications/frameworks-and-contracts/
15 Sustainable procurement tools: https://sustainableprocurementtools.scot/
18 https://www.transport.gov.scot/publication/covid-19-transport-trend-data-20-26-april-2020/
19 https://www.wrap.org.uk/content/citizens-and-food-covid-19-lockdown
20 CCC-to-Cabinet-Secretary-Roseanna-Cunningham-Covid-19-recovery.pdf (theccc.org.uk)
21 https://www.gov.scot/publications/place-principle-introduction/
22 Shaping Scotland’s economy: inward investment plan - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
23 https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/land-use-policies-for-a-net zero-uk/
25 Scottish Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2018, published 16 June 2020, accessible https://www.gov.scot/news/scottish-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2018/
26 Transport and Travel in Scotland 2019: Results from the Scottish Household Survey, accessible https://www.transport.gov.scot/media/48191/transport-and-travel-in-scotland-2019.pdf
27 https://www.gov.scot/publications/reaching-100-superfast-broadband/
28 https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-fourth-national-planning-framework-position-statement/
29 National Planning Framework 4 and wider planning and place-based policies will be informed by recent work by Architecture and Design Scotland, 2020, Designing for a Changing Climate: Carbon Conscious Places: https://www.ads.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Carbon-Conscious-Places-Main-Report.pdf
30 https://www.gov.scot/publications/environment-strategy-scotland-vision-outcomes/
32 Electricity Generation Costs 2020 (UK Government) - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/911817/electricity-generation-cost-report-2020.pdf
33 Photo of Dersalloch Wind Farm courtesy of Scottish Power Renewables.
34 https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-fourth-national-planning-framework-position-statement/
35 https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/journey-to-net zero/net zero-energy-workforce
36 https://www.gov.scot/publications/offshore-wind-policy-statement/pages/1/
40 https://www.gov.scot/publications/offshore-wind-policy-statement/
41 Announced in Offshore Wind Policy Statement, October 2020
42 Included in Climate Change Plan 2018
43 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
44 Announced in Scotland’s Energy Strategy, 2017 we would develop a bioenergy action plan
45 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
46 Scottish Energy Statistic Hub: https://scotland.shinyapps.io/sg-scottish-energy-statistics/
47 Scottish House Condition Survey, 2019
48 Scottish House Condition Survey, 2019, SAP 2012 (RdSAP v9.93)
49 Low carbon and renewable energy economy, UK - Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
50 Based on Scottish Government understanding of the sector.
51 Type 1 construction sector employment effects multiplier from the Scottish Government input-output tables, applied to 2021 prices.
52 The jobs estimate is derived by taking a Scottish household share of the UK capital spend on heat decarbonisation projected by the CCC (P99 of the CCC’s Net Zero Technical report) and applying the type 1 construction sector employment effects multiplier from the Scottish Government input-output tables.
53 Energy Efficient Scotland: route map: https://www.gov.scot/publications/energy-efficient-scotland-route-map/
54 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
55 Announced in the 2020-2021 Programme for Government, with further commitments included in this Climate Change Plan update.
56 Boosted both in the 2019-2020 Programme for Government, and in the 2020-2021 Programme for Government
57 For example, through the work of the Energy Consumers Commission
58 For example, through the work of the Energy Consumers Commission
59 Heat Networks (Scotland) Bill: Financial Memorandum, the Scottish Parliament, 3 March 2020. Page 12 sets out the Scottish Government’s estimate that it will take two years to implement the secondary legislation resulting from the Bill (i.e. by 2022/23).
60 Scottish Government frameworks and contracts: https://www.gov.scot/publications/frameworks-and-contracts/
61 https://www.worldgbc.org/thecommitment
62 National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory 1990-2017 (published 2019)
63 National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory 1990-2017 (published 2019)
64 https://www.transport.gov.scot/publication/national-transport-strategy-2/
65 Carbon Account for Scotland (P4) https://www.transport.gov.scot/media/48199/sct07209535161.pdf
66 Transport Scotland, trends in transport and travel in Scotland for first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic, accessible: https://www.transport.gov.scot/publications/?q=trend&topic=63625&page=1
67 Transport Transition Plan Statutory Assessments Interim Update September 2020, published 12 October 2020, accessible https://www.transport.gov.scot/media/48363/equalities-transport-transition-statutory-assessments-interim-update-september-2020.pdf
68 COVID-19 Public Attitudes Survey Data: Wave 10, published 19 November 2020, accessible https://www.transport.gov.scot/publication/covid-19-public-attitudes-survey-data-wave-10/
69 ONS, Coronavirus and Home Working in the UK: April 2020, published July 2020
70 COVID-19 Public Attitudes Survey Data: Wave 10, published 19 November 2020, accessible https://www.transport.gov.scot/publication/covid-19-public-attitudes-survey-data-wave-10/
71 Angeliki Karanasiou et al, Assessment of personal exposure to particulate air pollution during commuting in European cities—Recommendations and policy implications, Science of the Total Environment, vol 490, 2014, p.785-797, accessed 20 October: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S004896971400713X
72 https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindustry/timeseries/j4mc/drsi
73 UKCCC, Letter: Building a resilient recovery from the COVID-19 crisis to Roseanna Cunningham MSP, 6 May 2020, accessed: https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/letter-building-a-resilient-recovery-from-the-covid-19-crisis-to-roseanna-cunningham-msp/
74 Our 2020-2021 Programme for Government included a commitment to work with local government to take forward ambitions for 20 minute neighbourhoods where people can live, work and learn in communities close to home, as well as the launch of our Work Local Challenge to drive innovation in work place choices and remote working to support flexible working and our net zero objectives.
75 Commitment announced in our National Transport Strategy (NTS2), published on 5 February 2020
76 Announced in our 2020-2021 Programme for Government
77 Complementing powers in the Transport (Scotland) Act 2019
78 Announced in the 2020-2021 Scottish Budget and reaffirmed in our 2020-2021 Programme for Government
79 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
80 Boosted since 2018 CCP in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
81 Smarter Choices, Smarter Places (SCSP) was rolled out across Scotland in 2015/16. More information can be found here: https://www.transport.gov.scot/active-travel/smarter-choices-smarter-places/#
82 Free loans, grants and trials announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
83 We are continuing to support the provision of child and adult cycle training, and safety programmes including driver cycling awareness training through Bikeability Scotland: https://www.cycling.scot/bikeability-scotland
84 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
85 Announced in 2018-2019 Programme for Government
86 Included in Transport (Scotland) Act 2019
88 Policies announced in 2018 Climate Change Plan, and boosted with further investment announced in 2019
89 Boosted in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
91 Boosted in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
92 Boosted in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
93 Carbon Account for Scotland (P4) https://www.transport.gov.scot/media/48199/sct07209535161.pdf
94 Scottish Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2018, https://www.gov.scot/news/scottish-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2018/#:~:text=Source%20emissions%20were%2041.6%20million,cent%20between%202017%20and%202018.
95 Office of National Statistics - https://blog.ons.gov.uk/2020/09/18/how-the-covid-19-pandemic-has-accelerated-the-shift-to-online-spending/
96 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
97 Announced 2019: https://www.gov.scot/news/rail-freight-fund-announced/
98 Announced in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
99 Announced in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
100 Announced in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
102 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
103 Announced in Rail Services Decarbonisation Action Plan: https://www.transport.gov.scot/media/47906/rail-services-decarbonisation-action-plan.pdf
104 https://infrastructurecommission.scot/page/key-findings-report
105 CCC, Letter: Building a resilient recovery from the COVID-19 crisis to Roseanna Cunningham MSP, 6 May 2020, accessed: https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/letter-building-a-resilient-recovery-from-the-covid-19-crisis-to-roseanna-cunningham-msp/
107 Fourth National Planning Framework: Position Statement: https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-fourth-national-planning-framework-position-statement/
108 Deep Decarbonisation Pathways for Scottish Industries to be published alongside the Hydrogen Policy Statement in December 2020
109 Carbon leakage refers to the situation that may occur if, for reasons of costs related to climate policies, businesses were to transfer production to other countries with laxer emission constraints. This could lead to an increase in their total emissions. The risk of carbon leakage may be higher in certain energy-intensive industries (https://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/ets/allowances/leakage_en).
110 Centre for Energy Policy, University of Strathclyde (2019) The economic opportunity for a large scale CO2 management industry in Scotland: http://www.evaluationsonline.org.uk/evaluations/Search.do?ui=basic&action=showPromoted&id=689
111 Boosted in June 2020 announced in joint Government response to consultation on future of UK carbon pricing (publishing.service.gov.uk)
112 Joint Governments’’ Response on UK ETS June 2020: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/889037/Government_Response_to_Consultation_on_Future_of_UK_Carbon_Pricing.pdf
113 Announced 2020-2021 Programme for Government
114 Boosted in 2020-2021 Programme For Government and Hydrogen Assessment and Policy Statement (2020)
115 Announced in the 2020-2021 Programme for Government
116 SIETF and MLCF announced in the 2020-2021 Programme for Government
117 New policy announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
118 Announced June 2020: https://www.gov.scot/news/gbp-62-million-fund-for-energy-sector/
119 Reducing UK emissions Progress Report to Parliament (June 2020) Page 167
120 https://www.wrap.org.uk/content/citizens-and-food-covid-19-lockdown
121 http://www.rreuse.org/wp-content/uploads/Final-briefing-on-reuse-jobs-website-2.pdf
122 2018 Climate Change Plan commitment to reduce food waste by 33% boosted through the Food Waste Reduction Action Plan, published 2019
123 Announced in the 2020-2021 Programme for Government
124 All announced in the 2020-2021 Programme for Government
125 First announced in the 2019-2020 Programme for Government
126 Boosted through Low Carbon Fund
127 Boosted through Low Carbon Fund
128 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
129 https://consult.gov.scot/zero-waste-delivery/introducing-market-restrictions-on-single-use-plas/
130 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
131 Boosted in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
132 https://www.gov.scot/publications/food-waste-reduction-action-plan/
133 http://www.scottishwaternetzero.co.uk/
134 https://www.gov.scot/publications/food-waste-reduction-action-plan/, p.21
135 https://www.gov.scot/publications/food-waste-reduction-action-plan/, p.21
136 https://www.gov.scot/publications/food-waste-reduction-action-plan/
137 Recent examples include the public consultation on single-use plastic items (https://consult.gov.scot/zero-waste-delivery/introducing-market-restrictions-on-single-use-plas/) and engaging with island communities to identify potential impacts from the introduction of the deposit return scheme for single-use drinks containers (https://www.gov.scot/publications/deposit-return-scheme-scotland-islands-communities-impact-assessment/)
138 https://ec.europa.eu/environment/circular-economy/index_en.htm
140 On the basis that every £1 million of investment in peatland restoration is estimated to create around 10 contractor/delivery jobs. This would actually comprise a higher number of contractor posts on a part-time basis due to the seasonal nature of the work on the ground (i.e. the need to work outside severe winter conditions and the bird breeding season).
141 Fourth National Planning Framework: Position Statement - https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-fourth-national-planning-framework-position-statement/
142 Boosted in the 2020/2021 Programme for Government.
143 Commitment made in 2019-2020 Programme for Government, and restated in this Climate Change Plan update.
144 Fourth National Planning Framework: Position Statement - https://www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-fourth-national-planning-framework-position-statement/
145 http://www.oecd.org/environment/the-ocean-economy-in-2030-9789264251724-en.htm
147 Announced at Agriscot, November 2020
148 Announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
149 Announced in 2019-2020 Programme for Government
150 £10 million pilot Sustainable Agricultural Capital Grant Scheme announced in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
151 Boosted in 2020-2021 Programme for Government
152 Demonstrator network announced in this Climate Change Plan update, £1.5 million announced in Summer 2020
153 https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/greenhouse-gas-removals-call-for-evidence
154 https://www.gov.scot/publications/climate-change-plan-monitoring-report-2018/
155 https://www.gov.scot/publications/climate-change-plan-monitoring-report-2019/
157 https://www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2018/
158 This is an update of terminology from the 2018 version of the Monitoring Framework, which referred to these as policy output indicators.
159 HMT Green Book
160 TIMES is a high-level strategic model, covering the Scottish energy system, as well as non-energy sectors, including Agriculture, Waste, Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF). It identifies the least-cost pathway for deployment of technologies, fuels and other carbon abatement measures to meet our final demands and emissions targets. See Climate Change Plan: third report on proposals and policies 2018-2032 – technical annex for further information on the TIMES model
161 whereby tight emissions reduction targets in one country could cause business to relocate to other countries with more lax climate regulation, potentially resulting in higher global greenhouse gas emissions overall.
162 Net Zero Exhibits – Industry, available to download here: https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/net-zero-technical-report/
Contact
Email: climate_change@gov.scot
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