Just Transition: draft plan for transport in Scotland
This draft plan identifies the key challenges and opportunities that the transport sector faces in making a just transition to net zero. We are seeking views as part of a public consultation, which will run until 19th May 2025.
Footnotes
1 National Transport Strategy 2
2 Transport Scotland’s Approach to Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience, 2023
3 Grangemouth Just Transition Plan
4 ONS, Business Register and Employment Survey (2023)
5 ONS, Annual Business Survey (2022)
6 Mainstream = net zero forms of transport, and their supporting infrastructure, are in widespread use.
7 Transition = net zero forms of transport, and their supporting infrastructure, are being rolled out.
8 Designed with consideration of co-design principles and in alignment with the Scottish Government Participation handbook.
9 Participation Climate change participation programme 2023-2024
10 Transport Scotland, 5 Carbon Account for Transport N.12: 2020 Edition, 2020.
11 IPPR, Moving Together: A People-Focussed Pathway to Fairer and Greener Transport, May 2024
12 ClimateXChange, Impacts-of-climate-change-on-population-groups-in-Scotland, June 2022
13 Transport and Travel for Scotland, 2023
14 Transport and Travel in Scotland 2023 | Transport Scotland
15 The Health Foundation, Trends in transport costs, 2023
16 Ibid
17 Public Health Scotland, Transport poverty: a public health issue, 2024, p.6
19 Transport and Travel in Scotland 2023
20 Scottish Women’s Budget Group, Women’s Survey 2023: Women’s experiences of travel and its cost, 2023
22 Wherever possible, charge point owners and operators should seek to ensure that a reasonable proportion of charge points in existing public off-street sites, and all charge points at new off-street public sites, comply with BSI UK PAS 1899 standard for accessible charge points.
23 ONS, Business Register and Employment Survey (2023)
24 Cambridge Econometrics and Element Energy, Identifying the Economic Impact from ULEV Uptake, 2020
25 Ibid
26 Various Optimat skills baselining reports, updated with the latest Business Register and Employment Survey data for 2023
27 Optimat, Ultra-Low Emission Vehicle (ULEV) Skills Baselining Study ultra-low-emission, March 2020
28 Optimat, Skills for low carbon Heavy Duty Vehicles, October 2021
29 Optimat, Scottish Rail Opportunities March, 2021
30 Optimat, Baselining the Skills Required for the Transition to Zero Emission Maritime Operations LCED, March 2023; Optimat, Baselining the Skills Required for the Transition to Zero Emission Aviation and Aerospace LCED - March 2023
31 Optimat, Skills For Transport Decarbonisation, Wrap-up report, March 2023
32 Ibid
33 ONS, Annual Population Survey, 2023
34 Skills Development Scotland Modern Apprenticeship Statistics, 2023/24
35 According to Department for Transport data on cars, Scotland had a total of 103,193 licenced plug in electric vehicles in these categories after the second quarter of 2024. However, research into potential under reporting of plug in vehicles kept and used in Scotland suggests that this figure could be as high as 132,182 (https://cityscience.com/case-study/scottish-piv-uptake-data-review/).
36 Department for Transport, Vehicle Licensing Statistics
37 Department for Transport, Vehicle Licensing Statistics
38 Department for Transport, Vehicle Licensing Statistics
39 Scottish Government, Climate Change Plan Monitoring Report, 2024
40 Includes Scotrail and Caledonian Sleeper trains
41 Office of Rail and Road: Rail infrastructure and assets
42 Intra-Scotland air routes only
43 Optimat, Skills for low carbon Heavy Duty Vehicles, October 2021
44 Ember current pricing as of November 2024 is £6.10 for a one-way journey to Edinburgh from Bridge of Earn. Travelling to Edinburgh from Bridge of Earn, using a bus to Perth and then a train to Edinburgh, would have cost £24.90.
45 National Performance Framework | National Performance Framework
47 Time to Deliver - JTC Annual Report 2023 (justtransition.scot)
48 Not all discussions or written responses covered every question, and these questions do not represent a policy position of the Scottish Government.
49 Industry unites to fight the electric fear - SMMT
50 Moving-together-May24-web_2024-06-10-135752_urvv.pdf (svdcdn.com)
52 IPPR, p.11
53 Where-rubber-hits-the-road.pdf (resolutionfoundation.org) fig9, pg 29.
54 Ibid, p.30
55 Transport and Travel in Scotland, p. 16
56 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.6
58 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.15
59 Transport and Travel in Scotland p.15
60 Ibid, 12
61 The impacts of climate change on population groups in Scotland (ed.ac.uk) p.2
62 ScotRail Peak Fares Removal Pilot - Final Evaluation Report - August 2024 | Transport Scotland
63 Wheels of change (svdcdn.com) p.13
64 Transport and Travel in Scotland, p.21
66 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.15
67 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.6
68 Rural Scotland Key Facts 2021 (www.gov.scot)
69 Transport and Travel in Scotland p.22
70 The impacts of climate change on population groups in Scotland (ed.ac.uk)
71 Business Register and Employment Survey
72 Oxford Economics forecasting for Skills Development Scotland
73 Business Register and Employment Survey
74 Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings
75 Annual Population Survey
76 Annual Population Survey
77 this figure discounts where gender has not been disclosed
78 Annual Population Survey
79 https://esp-scotland.ac.uk/
80 Drawing on work by Optimat to baseline the skills required for the low carbon transition of different transport modes.
81 Lightcast, 2024
82 Climate Emergency Skills Action Plan
83 Low carbon vehicles include battery electric, plug-in hybrid electric, hybrid electric, fuel cell electric, and range extended electric vehicles.
84 Economic Opportunities in Scotland’s Net Zero and Climate Adaptation Economy (2024)
85 Zero Emission Mobility Industry Advisory Group | Transport Scotland
86 Accelerating bus decarbonisation | Transport Scotland
87 Zero Emission Truck Taskforce | Transport Scotland
88 Economic Opportunities in Scotland’s Net Zero and Climate Adaptation Economy (2024)
89 Ibid.
90 Ibid.
Contact
Email: TJTP@gov.scot
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