Just Transition: draft plan for transport in Scotland

This draft plan identifies the key challenges and opportunities that the transport sector faces in making a just transition to net zero. We are seeking views as part of a public consultation, which will run until 19th May 2025.


Footnotes

1 National Transport Strategy 2

2 Transport Scotland’s Approach to Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience, 2023

3 Grangemouth Just Transition Plan

4 ONS, Business Register and Employment Survey (2023)

5 ONS, Annual Business Survey (2022)

6 Mainstream = net zero forms of transport, and their supporting infrastructure, are in widespread use.

7 Transition = net zero forms of transport, and their supporting infrastructure, are being rolled out.

8 Designed with consideration of co-design principles and in alignment with the Scottish Government Participation handbook.

9 Participation Climate change participation programme 2023-2024

10 Transport Scotland, 5 Carbon Account for Transport N.12: 2020 Edition, 2020.

11 IPPR, Moving Together: A People-Focussed Pathway to Fairer and Greener Transport, May 2024

12 ClimateXChange, Impacts-of-climate-change-on-population-groups-in-Scotland, June 2022

13 Transport and Travel for Scotland, 2023

14 Transport and Travel in Scotland 2023 | Transport Scotland

15 The Health Foundation, Trends in transport costs, 2023

16 Ibid

17 Public Health Scotland, Transport poverty: a public health issue, 2024, p.6

18 Baltruszewicz et al., Social outcomes of energy use in the United Kingdom: Household energy footprints and their links to well-being, Ecological Economics Volume 205, 2023

19 Transport and Travel in Scotland 2023

20 Scottish Women’s Budget Group, Women’s Survey 2023: Women’s experiences of travel and its cost, 2023

21 Transport Scotland, Women’s and girls’ views and experiences of personal safety when using public transport Summary Report, March 2023

22 Wherever possible, charge point owners and operators should seek to ensure that a reasonable proportion of charge points in existing public off-street sites, and all charge points at new off-street public sites, comply with BSI UK PAS 1899 standard for accessible charge points.

23 ONS, Business Register and Employment Survey (2023)

24 Cambridge Econometrics and Element Energy, Identifying the Economic Impact from ULEV Uptake, 2020

25 Ibid

26 Various Optimat skills baselining reports, updated with the latest Business Register and Employment Survey data for 2023

27 Optimat, Ultra-Low Emission Vehicle (ULEV) Skills Baselining Study ultra-low-emission, March 2020

28 Optimat, Skills for low carbon Heavy Duty Vehicles, October 2021

29 Optimat, Scottish Rail Opportunities March, 2021

30 Optimat, Baselining the Skills Required for the Transition to Zero Emission Maritime Operations LCED, March 2023; Optimat, Baselining the Skills Required for the Transition to Zero Emission Aviation and Aerospace LCED - March 2023

31 Optimat, Skills For Transport Decarbonisation, Wrap-up report, March 2023

32 Ibid

33 ONS, Annual Population Survey, 2023

34 Skills Development Scotland Modern Apprenticeship Statistics, 2023/24

35 According to Department for Transport data on cars, Scotland had a total of 103,193 licenced plug in electric vehicles in these categories after the second quarter of 2024. However, research into potential under reporting of plug in vehicles kept and used in Scotland suggests that this figure could be as high as 132,182 (https://cityscience.com/case-study/scottish-piv-uptake-data-review/).

36 Department for Transport, Vehicle Licensing Statistics

37 Department for Transport, Vehicle Licensing Statistics

38 Department for Transport, Vehicle Licensing Statistics

39 Scottish Government, Climate Change Plan Monitoring Report, 2024

40 Includes Scotrail and Caledonian Sleeper trains

41 Office of Rail and Road: Rail infrastructure and assets

42 Intra-Scotland air routes only

43 Optimat, Skills for low carbon Heavy Duty Vehicles, October 2021

44 Ember current pricing as of November 2024 is £6.10 for a one-way journey to Edinburgh from Bridge of Earn. Travelling to Edinburgh from Bridge of Earn, using a bus to Perth and then a train to Edinburgh, would have cost £24.90.

45 National Performance Framework | National Performance Framework

46 Shapovalova, D., Potts, T., Bone, J., & Bender, K. (2023). Measuring Just Transition: Indicators and scenarios for a Just Transition in Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire. University of Aberdeen. doi.org/10.57064/2164/22364

47 Time to Deliver - JTC Annual Report 2023 (justtransition.scot)

48 Not all discussions or written responses covered every question, and these questions do not represent a policy position of the Scottish Government.

49 Industry unites to fight the electric fear - SMMT

50 Moving-together-May24-web_2024-06-10-135752_urvv.pdf (svdcdn.com)

51 Microsoft Word - Measuring Carbon Inequality in Scotland.docx (future-economy-scotland.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com) p.3

52 IPPR, p.11

53 Where-rubber-hits-the-road.pdf (resolutionfoundation.org) fig9, pg 29.

54 Ibid, p.30

55 Transport and Travel in Scotland, p. 16

56 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.6

57 Transport and Travel in Scotland, p.21 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot)p.37

58 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.15

59 Transport and Travel in Scotland p.15

60 Ibid, 12

61 The impacts of climate change on population groups in Scotland (ed.ac.uk) p.2

62 ScotRail Peak Fares Removal Pilot - Final Evaluation Report - August 2024 | Transport Scotland

63 Wheels of change (svdcdn.com) p.13

64 Transport and Travel in Scotland, p.21

65 Wheels of change (svdcdn.com) p.16; The Cost of Remoteness: Reflecting higher living costs in remote rural Scotland when measuring fuel poverty (www.gov.scot)

66 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.15

67 Transport poverty: a public health issue (publichealthscotland.scot) p.6

68 Rural Scotland Key Facts 2021 (www.gov.scot)

69 Transport and Travel in Scotland p.22

70 The impacts of climate change on population groups in Scotland (ed.ac.uk)

71 Business Register and Employment Survey

72 Oxford Economics forecasting for Skills Development Scotland

73 Business Register and Employment Survey

74 Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings

75 Annual Population Survey

76 Annual Population Survey

77 this figure discounts where gender has not been disclosed

78 Annual Population Survey

79 https://esp-scotland.ac.uk/

80 Drawing on work by Optimat to baseline the skills required for the low carbon transition of different transport modes.

81 Lightcast, 2024

82 Climate Emergency Skills Action Plan

83 Low carbon vehicles include battery electric, plug-in hybrid electric, hybrid electric, fuel cell electric, and range extended electric vehicles.

84 Economic Opportunities in Scotland’s Net Zero and Climate Adaptation Economy (2024)

85 Zero Emission Mobility Industry Advisory Group | Transport Scotland

86 Accelerating bus decarbonisation | Transport Scotland

87 Zero Emission Truck Taskforce | Transport Scotland

88 Economic Opportunities in Scotland’s Net Zero and Climate Adaptation Economy (2024)

89 Ibid.

90 Ibid.

Contact

Email: TJTP@gov.scot

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